TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Jaroslav Martinek
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111151198111012
Vojtech Stach
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:12 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeVojtech Stach to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Martinek above · Vojtech Stach below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 97 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Vojtech Stach at 75.3%
97 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Martinek 6–8 Vojtech Stach Jaroslav Martinek has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:12What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Stach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-8 in 14
Stach
Correct
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martinek 1136 vs Stach 1263
Stach
Correct
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martinek 40% vs Stach 80%
Stach
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martinek 20% vs Stach 80%
Stach
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martinek +1 · Stach +3
Stach
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Stach) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martinek form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartinek 3.50 / Stach 1.28
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Stach)+3.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159424
Martinek3.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 19 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Stach1.28
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 26 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it82% 18 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMartinek4wins
AwayStach6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStach leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartinek100%3 of 3
AwayStach85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martinek3Stach7n = 10Stach took 7 of 10
S2Martinek6Stach4n = 10Martinek took 6 of 10
S3Martinek3Stach7n = 10Stach took 7 of 10
S4Martinek2Stach4n = 6Stach took 4 of 6
S5Martinek2Stach1n = 3Martinek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMartinekStachM − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.936.0−1.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinekStachBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 159 vs 70 / 13247.8%53%76 / 159 vs 70 / 132Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.336.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StachMartinek 3.50/Stach 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.7%
Stach · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Stach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 07:30J. Martinek49911118102V. Stach48115911123
LSep 15 · 18:30J. Martinek114340V. Stach331111113
LSep 11 · 20:58J. Martinek337111051V. Stach3711312113
LSep 11 · 19:00J. Martinek399111091V. Stach4311912113
LAug 26 · 02:58J. Martinek145360V. Stach331111113
WAug 25 · 23:30J. Martinek4011117113V. Stach32891141
WAug 16 · 09:28J. Martinek331111113V. Stach157440
WAug 16 · 07:30J. Martinek531211117123V. Stach50147811102
LAug 15 · 08:30J. Martinek268990V. Stach331111113
WJun 28 · 09:14J. Martinek511181011113V. Stach3621112472
J. Martinek10
WSep 20 · 06:30J. Cernik2.50811551J. Martinek1.5011511113LSep 15 · 21:07M. Varcl1.53101111113J. Martinek2.38129861WSep 15 · 20:00M. Varcl1.36119771J. Martinek3.0061111113LSep 15 · 19:00M. Syroha1.331111113J. Martinek3.253750LSep 15 · 18:30J. Martinek2.754340V. Stach1.401111113LSep 11 · 20:58V. Stach1.4411312113J. Martinek2.637111051LSep 11 · 20:30J. Martinek1.67871181J. Hyrsl2.1011118113LSep 11 · 19:00J. Martinek2.259111091V. Stach1.5711912113LSep 11 · 18:00J. Pelikan1.501111113J. Martinek2.508630LSep 6 · 09:30M. Vrabec1.2811312113J. Martinek3.257111051
V. Stach10
WSep 20 · 08:00V. Stach1.5313511123J. Cernik2.3811118101WSep 20 · 06:00V. Stach1.80111199113J. Hyrsl1.9194111152WSep 15 · 21:30V. Stach1.631311113M. Syroha2.1311950WSep 15 · 20:30M. Syroha1.731011411102V. Stach2.00126117123LSep 15 · 19:30V. Stach2.001011141172M. Varcl1.731291213113WSep 15 · 18:30J. Martinek2.754340V. Stach1.401111113WSep 15 · 17:30V. Stach1.87111014113M. Lubas1.834121251WSep 15 · 16:00V. Stach1.831111113L. Havrda1.839990WSep 11 · 20:58V. Stach1.4411312113J. Martinek2.637111051WSep 11 · 19:00J. Martinek2.259111091V. Stach1.5711912113
Upcoming Matches
J. Martinek
Nothing scheduled
V. Stach
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