TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Jaromir Cernik
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711116118117––
Michal Syroha
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaromir Cernik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaromir Cernik above · Michal Syroha below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 72 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Jaromir Cernik at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Jaromir Cernik 14–11 Michal Syroha Michal Syroha has won 11 of their 25 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:08What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Syroha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-11 in 25
Cernik
Correct
gap of 3 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cernik 1138 vs Syroha 1281
Syroha
Wrong
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cernik 20% vs Syroha 100%
Syroha
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cernik 50% vs Syroha 80%
Syroha
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cernik -3 · Syroha +6
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Syroha) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syroha form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCernik 2.50 / Syroha 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Syroha)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159421
Cernik2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 49 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back18% 17 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 68
Syroha1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 83 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it80% 59 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCernik5wins
AwaySyroha5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCernik66.7%4 of 6
AwaySyroha75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cernik6Syroha4n = 10Cernik took 6 of 10
S2Cernik3Syroha7n = 10Syroha took 7 of 10
S3Cernik5Syroha5n = 10split evenly
S4Cernik5Syroha4n = 9Cernik took 5 of 9
S5Cernik3Syroha3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCernikSyrohaC − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.941.2−1.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernikSyrohaBasisWin rate · lifetime364 / 795 vs 346 / 68445.8%50.6%364 / 795 vs 346 / 684Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyrohaCernik 2.50/Syroha 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Syroha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cernik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 11 · 23:30J. Cernik3211441122M. Syroha47811116113
LJan 19 · 04:20J. Cernik46510111192M. Syroha48111295113
WJan 19 · 02:30J. Cernik49119711113M. Syroha4061111482
WJan 17 · 19:30J. Cernik4591111143M. Syroha271113121
WJan 14 · 04:30J. Cernik3411111113M. Syroha36911881
WJan 14 · 24:00J. Cernik49116129113M. Syroha50911101192
WDec 20 · 14:05J. Cernik47131157113M. Syroha43111111192
LDec 20 · 12:30J. Cernik351011771M. Syroha3712311113
LDec 13 · 02:00J. Cernik189540M. Syroha331111113
LSep 14 · 11:30J. Cernik44115116112M. Syroha51811811133
J. Cernik10
WSep 20 · 13:09V. Stach1.679131091J. Cernik2.10111112113LSep 20 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.25911611113J. Cernik3.7511611672LSep 20 · 10:30V. Stach1.531111113J. Cernik2.385760LSep 20 · 08:58J. Cernik1.73511691J. Hyrsl2.0011411113LSep 20 · 08:00V. Stach1.5313511123J. Cernik2.3811118101WSep 20 · 07:00J. Hyrsl1.83111110772J. Cernik1.83671211113LSep 20 · 06:30J. Cernik2.50811551J. Martinek1.5011511113WSep 18 · 13:30L. Novotny1.85118971J. Cernik1.8581111113WSep 18 · 12:00J. Cernik1.7311119113M. Marjan2.00891191LSep 18 · 11:30L. Novotny2.1081111113J. Cernik1.67119571
M. Syroha10
WSep 20 · 13:30M. Syroha1.481111133Z. Kasinski2.4576110WSep 20 · 12:00M. Syroha2.50711138113V. Stach1.50119111142WSep 20 · 10:00M. Syroha1.5071111113Z. Kasinski2.50118551WSep 19 · 09:28M. Syroha1.36118911113M. Vrabec3.0091111082WSep 19 · 08:00M. Syroha1.441111113M. Vrabec2.636520WSep 19 · 07:30L. Novotny3.509980M. Syroha1.281111113WSep 19 · 06:00M. Syroha1.671111113J. Hyrsl2.108980WSep 16 · 02:58M. Syroha1.67111111133L. Madle2.101357111LSep 16 · 01:30M. Syroha1.808840S. Mazanek1.911111113WSep 16 · 24:30L. Madle2.2581111392M. Syroha1.57117711113
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