TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Michal Syroha
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711118115115––
Zdenek Kasinski
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:06 and never touched — 66.0% is still 66.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Syroha to win
66.0%
66.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Syroha above · Zdenek Kasinski below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 69 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Michal Syroha at 66.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Michal Syroha 1–0 Zdenek Kasinski Zdenek Kasinski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:06What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Syroha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Syroha 1266 vs Kasinski 1147
Syroha
Correct
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syroha 100% vs Kasinski 20%
Syroha
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syroha 70% vs Kasinski 40%
Syroha
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Syroha +5 · Kasinski -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Syroha) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasinski form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyroha 1.50 / Kasinski 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Syroha)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13158580
Syroha1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 19)
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 83 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it80% 59 of 74
Kasinski2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 17)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSyroha1wins
AwayKasinski0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSyroha leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSyrohaKasinskiS − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match51.036.0+15.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyrohaKasinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime345 / 683 vs 71 / 15550.5%45.8%345 / 683 vs 71 / 155Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyrohaSyroha 1.50/Kasinski 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Syroha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Syroha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 13 · 10:00M. Syroha51891111123Z. Kasinski36111122102
M. Syroha10
WSep 19 · 09:28M. Syroha1.36118911113M. Vrabec3.0091111082WSep 19 · 08:00M. Syroha1.441111113M. Vrabec2.636520WSep 19 · 07:30L. Novotny3.509980M. Syroha1.281111113WSep 19 · 06:00M. Syroha1.671111113J. Hyrsl2.108980WSep 16 · 02:58M. Syroha1.67111111133L. Madle2.101357111LSep 16 · 01:30M. Syroha1.808840S. Mazanek1.911111113WSep 16 · 24:30L. Madle2.2581111392M. Syroha1.57117711113LSep 15 · 23:30J. Pelikan1.22611711113M. Syroha4.0011311772WSep 15 · 22:30M. Syroha2.00119119113D. Mutl1.7381191192LSep 15 · 21:30V. Stach1.631311113M. Syroha2.1311950
Z. Kasinski10
LSep 17 · 12:58L. Madle2.0012121110113Z. Kasinski1.731010131272LSep 17 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.57111441L. Madle2.2511811113LSep 17 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.38119691M. Vaclavik1.5371111113WSep 17 · 10:00M. Varcl1.50511971Z. Kasinski2.5011611113LSep 13 · 13:07Z. Kasinski1.851511961V. Stach1.8517611113LSep 13 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.575880M. Vrabec2.251111113WSep 13 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.101111113V. Stach1.679970LSep 13 · 10:00M. Syroha1.91891111123Z. Kasinski1.80111122102WSep 1 · 13:30Z. Kasinski1.401111113J. Cernik2.759670WSep 1 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.67114511113A. Hejduk2.1081111562
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