TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140498
Played Sep 17Finished
Zdenek Kasinski
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
111118411411––
Ludek Madle
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:35 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeZdenek Kasinski to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingZdenek Kasinski above · Ludek Madle below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 61 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Zdenek Kasinski at 62.5%
61 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Kasinski 1–3 Ludek Madle Zdenek Kasinski has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:35What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kasinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Madle
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kasinski 1194 vs Madle 1121
Kasinski
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasinski 40% vs Madle 20%
Kasinski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasinski 60% vs Madle 10%
Kasinski
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasinski -1 · Madle -3
Madle
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kasinski) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Madle form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasinski 1.57 / Madle 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kasinski)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140498
Kasinski1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite31% won 9 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it67% 6 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it53% 9 of 17
Madle2.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 40 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back8% 3 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKasinski1wins
AwayMadle3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderMadle leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKasinskin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayMadle75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasinski0Madle4n = 4Madle took 4 of 4
S2Kasinski3Madle1n = 4Kasinski took 3 of 4
S3Kasinski2Madle2n = 4split evenly
S4Kasinski2Madle2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKasinskiMadleK − MBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match35.542.0−6.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasinskiMadleBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 154 vs 259 / 54646.1%47.4%71 / 154 vs 259 / 546Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasinskiKasinski 1.57/Madle 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Kasinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Madle won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 17 · 12:30Z. Kasinski20111441L. Madle4111811113
LJul 30 · 10:30Z. Kasinski31611861L. Madle3911611113
WAug 25 · 09:00Z. Kasinski4281111123L. Madle371188101
LAug 25 · 06:30Z. Kasinski49109111182L. Madle51121198113
Z. Kasinski10
LSep 17 · 12:58L. Madle2.0012121110113Z. Kasinski1.731010131272LSep 17 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.38119691M. Vaclavik1.5371111113WSep 17 · 10:00M. Varcl1.50511971Z. Kasinski2.5011611113LSep 13 · 13:07Z. Kasinski1.851511961V. Stach1.8517611113LSep 13 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.575880M. Vrabec2.251111113WSep 13 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.101111113V. Stach1.679970LSep 13 · 10:00M. Syroha1.91891111123Z. Kasinski1.80111122102WSep 1 · 13:30Z. Kasinski1.401111113J. Cernik2.759670WSep 1 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.67114511113A. Hejduk2.1081111562WSep 1 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.801111113J. Cernik1.918860
L. Madle10
WSep 17 · 12:58L. Madle2.0012121110113Z. Kasinski1.731010131272LSep 17 · 11:30L. Madle2.3881191182M. Varcl1.53119117113LSep 17 · 10:30M. Vaclavik1.8312911113L. Madle1.831011981LSep 16 · 02:58M. Syroha1.67111111133L. Madle2.101357111WSep 16 · 02:00D. Mutl1.579150L. Madle2.251111113LSep 16 · 24:30L. Madle2.2581111392M. Syroha1.57117711113LSep 15 · 23:00L. Madle2.0011815892S. Mazanek1.736111311113LSep 15 · 22:00J. Pelikan1.401161011123L. Madle2.75911127102LSep 14 · 13:00L. Novotny1.701111123L. Madle2.0046100LSep 14 · 12:30L. Madle1.73581151D. Mutl2.0011115113
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