TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Michal Syroha
Home
1.48
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171161311––––
Zdenek Kasinski
Away
2.45
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:15 and never touched — 63.1% is still 63.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Syroha to win
63.1%
63.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Syroha above · Zdenek Kasinski below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-4
Point 48 set 3, 9-4 — our read held Michal Syroha at 63.1%
48 points drawn · the score is 11 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Michal Syroha 2–0 Zdenek Kasinski Zdenek Kasinski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Syroha beat Kasinski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:15What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.48 (62%)
Syroha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Syroha 1287 vs Kasinski 1173
Syroha
Correct
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syroha 80% vs Kasinski 40%
Syroha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syroha 80% vs Kasinski 40%
Syroha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Syroha +1 · Kasinski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Syroha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syroha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyroha 1.48 / Kasinski 2.45
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Syroha)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13164413
Syroha1.48
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 83 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it80% 59 of 74
Kasinski2.45
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSyroha2wins
AwayKasinski0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderSyroha leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSyrohaKasinskiS − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match45.532.5+13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyrohaKasinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime347 / 686 vs 70 / 15350.6%45.8%347 / 686 vs 70 / 153Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyrohaSyroha 1.48/Kasinski 2.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.1%
Syroha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Syroha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 20 · 10:00M. Syroha4071111113Z. Kasinski29118551
WSep 13 · 10:00M. Syroha51891111123Z. Kasinski36111122102
M. Syroha10
WSep 20 · 12:00M. Syroha2.50711138113V. Stach1.50119111142LSep 20 · 11:30J. Cernik2.5071111113M. Syroha1.50116871WSep 20 · 10:00M. Syroha1.5071111113Z. Kasinski2.50118551WSep 19 · 09:28M. Syroha1.36118911113M. Vrabec3.0091111082WSep 19 · 08:00M. Syroha1.441111113M. Vrabec2.636520WSep 19 · 07:30L. Novotny3.509980M. Syroha1.281111113WSep 19 · 06:00M. Syroha1.671111113J. Hyrsl2.108980WSep 16 · 02:58M. Syroha1.67111111133L. Madle2.101357111LSep 16 · 01:30M. Syroha1.808840S. Mazanek1.911111113WSep 16 · 24:30L. Madle2.2581111392M. Syroha1.57117711113
Z. Kasinski10
WSep 20 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.25911611113J. Cernik3.7511611672WSep 20 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.00711211113V. Stach1.7311211982LSep 20 · 10:00M. Syroha1.5071111113Z. Kasinski2.50118551LSep 17 · 12:58L. Madle2.0012121110113Z. Kasinski1.731010131272LSep 17 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.57111441L. Madle2.2511811113LSep 17 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.38119691M. Vaclavik1.5371111113WSep 17 · 10:00M. Varcl1.50511971Z. Kasinski2.5011611113LSep 13 · 13:07Z. Kasinski1.851511961V. Stach1.8517611113LSep 13 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.575880M. Vrabec2.251111113WSep 13 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.101111113V. Stach1.679970
Upcoming Matches
M. Syroha
Z. Kasinski
Nothing scheduled
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