TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Ludek Madle
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911114411511––
Miroslav Vaclavik
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:03 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Vaclavik to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLudek Madle above · Miroslav Vaclavik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 66 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Miroslav Vaclavik at 60.5%
66 points played in total.
H2H Ludek Madle 1–2 Miroslav Vaclavik Ludek Madle has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 16:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vaclavik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Madle 1123 vs Vaclavik 1268
Vaclavik
Correct
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Madle 40% vs Vaclavik 60%
Vaclavik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Madle 30% vs Vaclavik 60%
Vaclavik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Madle -1 · Vaclavik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Vaclavik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMadle 2.20 / Vaclavik 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Vaclavik)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165540
Madle2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 42 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back7% 3 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Vaclavik1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 43 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it81% 35 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMadle1wins
AwayVaclavik2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderVaclavik leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Madle2Vaclavik1n = 3Madle took 2 of 3
S2Madle3Vaclavik0n = 3Madle took 3 of 3
S3Madle1Vaclavik2n = 3Vaclavik took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMadleVaclavikM − VBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match39.335.7+3.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMadleVaclavikBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 543 vs 107 / 19547.3%54.9%257 / 543 vs 107 / 195Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VaclavikMadle 2.20/Vaclavik 1.61
Hit
What we said
60.5%
Vaclavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vaclavik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 17 · 10:30L. Madle381011981M. Vaclavik4312911113
LJul 9 · 22:00L. Madle4612119952M. Vaclavik451021111113
WFeb 19 · 23:00L. Madle341111123M. Vaclavik1954100
L. Madle10
LSep 21 · 06:00J. Srba2.2512139113L. Madle1.5710111171WSep 17 · 12:58L. Madle2.0012121110113Z. Kasinski1.731010131272WSep 17 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.57111441L. Madle2.2511811113LSep 17 · 11:30L. Madle2.3881191182M. Varcl1.53119117113LSep 17 · 10:30M. Vaclavik1.8312911113L. Madle1.831011981LSep 16 · 02:58M. Syroha1.67111111133L. Madle2.101357111WSep 16 · 02:00D. Mutl1.579150L. Madle2.251111113LSep 16 · 24:30L. Madle2.2581111392M. Syroha1.57117711113LSep 15 · 23:00L. Madle2.0011815892S. Mazanek1.736111311113LSep 15 · 22:00J. Pelikan1.401161011123L. Madle2.75911127102
M. Vaclavik10
WSep 21 · 06:30M. Vaclavik1.401111113J. Cernik2.754380LSep 18 · 09:28L. Novotny2.3811133123M. Vaclavik1.5351111101WSep 18 · 08:00M. Vaclavik1.67118811113M. Marjan2.1081111592WSep 18 · 07:30J. Cernik3.001189141M. Vaclavik1.3681111163LSep 18 · 06:00M. Vaclavik1.3612611762L. Novotny3.001011311113WSep 17 · 13:30M. Vaclavik2.00121112113M. Varcl1.731041481LSep 17 · 12:00M. Varcl2.00941113113M. Vaclavik1.73111151172WSep 17 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.38119691M. Vaclavik1.5371111113WSep 17 · 10:30M. Vaclavik1.8312911113L. Madle1.831011981LSep 17 · 08:58M. Vaclavik1.67912781J. Grohsgott2.10111011113
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