TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Petr Chlumsky
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311711911––––
Martin Filipek
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:52 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timePetr Chlumsky to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Chlumsky above · Martin Filipek below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 52 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Petr Chlumsky at 63.3%
52 points played in total.
H2H Petr Chlumsky 6–0 Martin Filipek Martin Filipek has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:52What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Chlumsky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-0 in 6
Chlumsky
Wrong
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chlumsky 1448 vs Filipek 1545
Filipek
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chlumsky 60% vs Filipek 80%
Filipek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chlumsky 40% vs Filipek 60%
Filipek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chlumsky -1 · Filipek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Chlumsky) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Filipek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChlumsky 1.57 / Filipek 2.25
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Chlumsky)-1.2pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13166546
Chlumsky1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 18 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it75% 9 of 12
Filipek2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 78 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back26% 25 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeChlumsky6wins
AwayFilipek0wins
Chlumsky leads 6–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChlumsky100%4 of 4
AwayFilipekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chlumsky4Filipek2n = 6Chlumsky took 4 of 6
S2Chlumsky5Filipek1n = 6Chlumsky took 5 of 6
S3Chlumsky5Filipek1n = 6Chlumsky took 5 of 6
S4Chlumsky4Filipek0n = 4Chlumsky took 4 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home467%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricChlumskyFilipekC − FBasisWins60+6in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match40.731.7+9.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChlumskyFilipekBasisWin rate · lifetime135 / 298 vs 266 / 60045.3%44.3%135 / 298 vs 266 / 600Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChlumskyChlumsky 1.57/Filipek 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Chlumsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Filipek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 4 · 14:04P. Chlumsky43111110113M. Filipek34891251
WSep 4 · 12:55P. Chlumsky4991511143M. Filipek4511139121
WMay 4 · 14:05P. Chlumsky351311113M. Filipek2311750
WMay 4 · 12:25P. Chlumsky3961111113M. Filipek34118781
WNov 3 · 09:25P. Chlumsky4011711113M. Filipek28711551
WSep 20 · 11:55P. Chlumsky381611113M. Filipek2614570
P. Chlumsky10
LSep 21 · 10:55A. Kral2.0011811113P. Chlumsky1.73311881WSep 15 · 14:24D. Sochor2.10117116102P. Chlumsky1.67611811123WSep 15 · 12:55D. Sochor1.83781181P. Chlumsky1.8311119113LSep 15 · 12:25P. Moravec1.57116124113P. Chlumsky2.25711101132WSep 15 · 11:25P. Chlumsky1.83121212113A. Kral1.8310101471LSep 9 · 13:58P. Chlumsky1.83121191182L. Moravec1.83148115113WSep 9 · 12:55P. Chlumsky2.0012713113L. Moravec1.7310111171LSep 9 · 11:55P. Chlumsky1.73119911102A. Kral2.00911116123LSep 9 · 10:55P. Chlumsky2.2551111132D. Sykora1.57117711113LSep 8 · 09:53J. Srnka1.804111011133P. Chlumsky1.91119127112
M. Filipek10
LSep 21 · 11:25M. Filipek1.801312111372F. Balcar1.911514711113WSep 17 · 14:40M. Filipek1.831111113F. Marat1.834990WSep 17 · 12:55M. Filipek1.731111143A. Kral2.0096120WSep 17 · 11:55M. Filipek1.801111412113L. Moravec1.91139111062WSep 17 · 10:55M. Filipek2.00118119133F. Marat1.73711511112LSep 16 · 13:30M. Filipek3.0051141192B. Budik1.35117119113LSep 16 · 12:50T. Hnizdil1.67111014113M. Filipek2.102121251WSep 16 · 11:50M. Filipek1.80911411113B. Budik1.9011711492LSep 16 · 10:20F. Balcar1.911411113113M. Filipek1.8016451162WSep 15 · 13:54M. Filipek2.20811711113O. Knazik1.6111711972
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