TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13137423
Played Sep 16Finished
Tomas Hnizdil
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11210121412115––
Martin Filipek
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:47 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeTomas Hnizdil to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Hnizdil above · Martin Filipek below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 77 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Tomas Hnizdil at 62.1%
77 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hnizdil 7–5 Martin Filipek Martin Filipek has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:47What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hnizdil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Hnizdil
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hnizdil 1660 vs Filipek 1539
Hnizdil
Correct
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hnizdil 40% vs Filipek 80%
Filipek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hnizdil 60% vs Filipek 80%
Filipek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hnizdil -1 · Filipek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hnizdil) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Filipek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHnizdil 1.67 / Filipek 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Hnizdil)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13137423
Hnizdil1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 55 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it90% 27 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it85% 39 of 46
Filipek2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog43% won 77 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back27% 25 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHnizdil6wins
AwayFilipek4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHnizdil leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHnizdil80%4 of 5
AwayFilipek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hnizdil5Filipek5n = 10split evenly
S2Hnizdil5Filipek5n = 10split evenly
S3Hnizdil5Filipek5n = 10split evenly
S4Hnizdil4Filipek4n = 8split evenly
S5Hnizdil3Filipek1n = 4Hnizdil took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHnizdilFilipekH − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.737.7+3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHnizdilFilipekBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 245 vs 268 / 60260%44.5%147 / 245 vs 268 / 602Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HnizdilHnizdil 1.67/Filipek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Hnizdil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hnizdil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 12:50T. Hnizdil4011101181M. Filipek4313127113
WAug 11 · 12:50T. Hnizdil531310118113M. Filipek50111271192
WMar 16 · 08:55T. Hnizdil51119119113M. Filipek4191131172
WFeb 10 · 14:30T. Hnizdil45611611113M. Filipek3311211272
WFeb 10 · 11:20T. Hnizdil331111113M. Filipek228680
LFeb 3 · 10:25T. Hnizdil33811771M. Filipek3811511113
WFeb 2 · 14:25T. Hnizdil3741111113M. Filipek34118691
WSep 12 · 11:10T. Hnizdil43111110113M. Filipek30651271
LSep 8 · 07:55T. Hnizdil2611690M. Filipek351311113
LAug 18 · 13:10T. Hnizdil46111041472M. Filipek515121112113
T. Hnizdil10
LSep 16 · 11:20F. Balcar2.00481111113T. Hnizdil1.7311113972WSep 16 · 10:50B. Budik2.20127101152T. Hnizdil1.601011128113WSep 15 · 13:24T. Hnizdil1.3641112123J. Osmera3.0011810101LSep 15 · 12:50M. Filipek2.2513127113T. Hnizdil1.5711101181LSep 15 · 11:50T. Hnizdil1.503411111O. Knazik2.5011117133WSep 15 · 10:20J. Osmera3.00511471T. Hnizdil1.3611811113WSep 14 · 14:44T. Hnizdil1.4011811113J. Osmera2.80411931LSep 14 · 13:25S. Holik2.255101111143T. Hnizdil1.57111248122WSep 14 · 12:25T. Hnizdil1.401111119113J. Osmera2.7513721192WSep 14 · 10:55O. Knazik2.2548100T. Hnizdil1.571111123
M. Filipek10
WSep 16 · 11:50M. Filipek1.80911411113B. Budik1.9011711492LSep 16 · 10:20F. Balcar1.911411113113M. Filipek1.8016451162WSep 15 · 13:54M. Filipek2.20811711113O. Knazik1.6111711972WSep 15 · 12:50M. Filipek2.2513127113T. Hnizdil1.5711101181WSep 15 · 11:20J. Osmera2.258330M. Filipek1.571111113WSep 15 · 10:50O. Knazik1.57111111642M. Filipek2.25138911113WSep 14 · 10:35M. Filipek1.80148811113A. Kral1.90121111982WSep 14 · 08:55R. Muller1.9175111152M. Filipek1.80111197113WSep 14 · 08:25A. Kral2.00913761M. Filipek1.73111111113LSep 14 · 07:25M. Filipek1.8311851162F. Marat1.83911114113
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