TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13137042
Played Sep 16Finished
Bohuslav Budik
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12107111012118511
Tomas Hnizdil
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Hnizdil to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
12107111012118511
H2H Bohuslav Budik 23–28 Tomas Hnizdil Bohuslav Budik has won 23 of their 51 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:17What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Hnizdil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-28 in 51
Hnizdil
Correct
gap of 5 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Budik 1575 vs Hnizdil 1667
Hnizdil
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Budik 60% vs Hnizdil 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Budik 50% vs Hnizdil 70%
Hnizdil
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Budik +2 · Hnizdil +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hnizdil) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Budik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBudik 2.20 / Hnizdil 1.60
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Hnizdil)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13137042
Budik2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 54 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back34% 21 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Hnizdil1.60
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 55 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it90% 27 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it85% 39 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBudik5wins
AwayHnizdil5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBudik50%3 of 6
AwayHnizdil50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Budik6Hnizdil4n = 10Budik took 6 of 10
S2Budik6Hnizdil4n = 10Budik took 6 of 10
S3Budik6Hnizdil4n = 10Budik took 6 of 10
S4Budik3Hnizdil5n = 8Hnizdil took 5 of 8
S5Budik2Hnizdil3n = 5Hnizdil took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBudikHnizdilB − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.340.5+0.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBudikHnizdilBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 514 vs 149 / 24744.2%60.3%227 / 514 vs 149 / 247Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HnizdilBudik 2.20/Hnizdil 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Hnizdil · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hnizdil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 07:25B. Budik361178101T. Hnizdil4281111123
WSep 6 · 09:35B. Budik331111113T. Hnizdil258890
WSep 6 · 06:50B. Budik531112118113T. Hnizdil4891461182
WSep 5 · 10:50B. Budik529111011113T. Hnizdil4111512672
LSep 5 · 09:25B. Budik4891311872T. Hnizdil531111911113
LJul 27 · 12:50B. Budik3821151192T. Hnizdil44116115113
LJul 23 · 12:50B. Budik33129751T. Hnizdil43101111113
LJul 22 · 10:33B. Budik45111011762T. Hnizdil51812911113
WJul 22 · 09:25B. Budik4251111153T. Hnizdil391178131
WMar 16 · 11:23B. Budik331111113T. Hnizdil195680
B. Budik10
LSep 16 · 12:20F. Balcar1.8011118113B. Budik1.90781181LSep 16 · 11:50M. Filipek1.80911411113B. Budik1.9011711492WSep 12 · 10:35P. Vodal2.455890B. Budik1.501111113WSep 12 · 09:25P. Vodal2.101284101B. Budik1.60101111123LSep 12 · 08:25B. Budik1.50812111192C. Kratochvil2.35111444113WSep 12 · 06:55T. Rein2.2595150B. Budik1.581111173LSep 11 · 10:00B. Budik1.9581171282V. Koutnik1.751191110113LSep 11 · 09:25B. Budik1.711178101P. Vodal2.0041111123WSep 11 · 07:55V. Koutnik1.7181171192B. Budik2.00118119113LSep 11 · 07:25T. Hnizdil1.6581111123B. Budik2.101178101
T. Hnizdil10
WSep 16 · 12:50T. Hnizdil1.67111014113M. Filipek2.102121251LSep 16 · 11:20F. Balcar2.00481111113T. Hnizdil1.7311113972WSep 15 · 13:24T. Hnizdil1.3641112123J. Osmera3.0011810101LSep 15 · 12:50M. Filipek2.2513127113T. Hnizdil1.5711101181LSep 15 · 11:50T. Hnizdil1.503411111O. Knazik2.5011117133WSep 15 · 10:20J. Osmera3.00511471T. Hnizdil1.3611811113WSep 14 · 14:44T. Hnizdil1.4011811113J. Osmera2.80411931LSep 14 · 13:25S. Holik2.255101111143T. Hnizdil1.57111248122WSep 14 · 12:25T. Hnizdil1.401111119113J. Osmera2.7513721192WSep 11 · 07:25T. Hnizdil1.6581111123B. Budik2.101178101
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.