TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13139763
Played Sep 16Finished
Martin Filipek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911117411114119
Bohuslav Budik
Away
1.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:27 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeMartin Filipek to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
911117411114119
H2H Martin Filipek 17–17 Bohuslav Budik Dead even across their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:27What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Filipek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-17 in 34
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Filipek 1527 vs Budik 1567
Budik
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Filipek 80% vs Budik 60%
Filipek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Filipek 80% vs Budik 50%
Filipek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Filipek -1 · Budik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Budik) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Filipek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFilipek 1.80 / Budik 1.90
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Budik)+5.4pp
TT Cup · #13139763
Filipek1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite61% won 46 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it81% 35 of 43
Budik1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 54 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back34% 21 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFilipek5wins
AwayBudik5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFilipek80%4 of 5
AwayBudik80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Filipek5Budik5n = 10split evenly
S2Filipek3Budik7n = 10Budik took 7 of 10
S3Filipek3Budik7n = 10Budik took 7 of 10
S4Filipek8Budik2n = 10Filipek took 8 of 10
S5Filipek4Budik3n = 7Filipek took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFilipekBudikF − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match47.947.4+0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFilipekBudikBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 601 vs 223 / 50844.4%43.9%267 / 601 vs 223 / 508Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BudikFilipek 1.80/Budik 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Budik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Filipek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 10:55M. Filipek355911101B. Budik4311119123
WAug 20 · 09:25M. Filipek44113711123B. Budik44411118102
WJul 20 · 08:25M. Filipek5711111111133B. Budik49413138112
WApr 7 · 07:55M. Filipek52119911123B. Budik47911116102
LMar 16 · 08:25M. Filipek4213910101B. Budik46111112123
WMar 11 · 08:25M. Filipek4391112113B. Budik361181071
LMar 5 · 14:50M. Filipek531411711102B. Budik51169113123
WMar 5 · 11:50M. Filipek5911131211123B. Budik56815149102
LFeb 17 · 11:35M. Filipek4779111192B. Budik48111196113
LFeb 17 · 10:25M. Filipek4781181552B. Budik541181113113
M. Filipek10
LSep 16 · 12:50T. Hnizdil1.67111014113M. Filipek2.102121251LSep 16 · 10:20F. Balcar1.911411113113M. Filipek1.8016451162WSep 15 · 13:54M. Filipek2.20811711113O. Knazik1.6111711972WSep 15 · 12:50M. Filipek2.2513127113T. Hnizdil1.5711101181WSep 15 · 11:20J. Osmera2.258330M. Filipek1.571111113WSep 15 · 10:50O. Knazik1.57111111642M. Filipek2.25138911113WSep 14 · 10:35M. Filipek1.80148811113A. Kral1.90121111982WSep 14 · 08:55R. Muller1.9175111152M. Filipek1.80111197113WSep 14 · 08:25A. Kral2.00913761M. Filipek1.73111111113LSep 14 · 07:25M. Filipek1.8311851162F. Marat1.83911114113
B. Budik10
LSep 16 · 12:20F. Balcar1.8011118113B. Budik1.90781181LSep 16 · 10:50B. Budik2.20127101152T. Hnizdil1.601011128113WSep 12 · 10:35P. Vodal2.455890B. Budik1.501111113WSep 12 · 09:25P. Vodal2.101284101B. Budik1.60101111123LSep 12 · 08:25B. Budik1.50812111192C. Kratochvil2.35111444113WSep 12 · 06:55T. Rein2.2595150B. Budik1.581111173LSep 11 · 10:00B. Budik1.9581171282V. Koutnik1.751191110113LSep 11 · 09:25B. Budik1.711178101P. Vodal2.0041111123WSep 11 · 07:55V. Koutnik1.7181171192B. Budik2.00118119113LSep 11 · 07:25T. Hnizdil1.6581111123B. Budik2.101178101
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