TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13132256
Played Sep 15Finished
Martin Filipek
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
13111210711118––
Tomas Hnizdil
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:34 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeTomas Hnizdil to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Filipek above · Tomas Hnizdil below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 83 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Tomas Hnizdil at 62.1%
83 points played in total.
H2H Martin Filipek 4–7 Tomas Hnizdil Martin Filipek has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:34What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hnizdil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Hnizdil
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Filipek 1509 vs Hnizdil 1678
Hnizdil
Wrong
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Filipek 100% vs Hnizdil 60%
Filipek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Filipek 70% vs Hnizdil 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Filipek +5 · Hnizdil -1
Filipek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Hnizdil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Filipek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFilipek 2.25 / Hnizdil 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Hnizdil)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13132256
Filipek2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog42% won 74 of 178
Down 0–1, comes back26% 24 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 43
Hnizdil1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite70% won 53 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it90% 27 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it84% 38 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFilipek4wins
AwayHnizdil6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHnizdil leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFilipek60%3 of 5
AwayHnizdil80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Filipek5Hnizdil5n = 10split evenly
S2Filipek4Hnizdil6n = 10Hnizdil took 6 of 10
S3Filipek6Hnizdil4n = 10Filipek took 6 of 10
S4Filipek3Hnizdil5n = 8Hnizdil took 5 of 8
S5Filipek2Hnizdil3n = 5Hnizdil took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFilipekHnizdilF − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.241.5−3.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFilipekHnizdilBasisWin rate · lifetime266 / 602 vs 148 / 24544.2%60.4%266 / 602 vs 148 / 245Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HnizdilFilipek 2.25/Hnizdil 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.1%
Hnizdil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Filipek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 11 · 12:50M. Filipek50111271192T. Hnizdil531310118113
LMar 16 · 08:55M. Filipek4191131172T. Hnizdil51119119113
LFeb 10 · 14:30M. Filipek3311211272T. Hnizdil45611611113
LFeb 10 · 11:20M. Filipek228680T. Hnizdil331111113
WFeb 3 · 10:25M. Filipek3811511113T. Hnizdil33811771
LFeb 2 · 14:25M. Filipek34118691T. Hnizdil3741111113
LSep 12 · 11:10M. Filipek30651271T. Hnizdil43111110113
WSep 8 · 07:55M. Filipek351311113T. Hnizdil2611690
WAug 18 · 13:10M. Filipek515121112113T. Hnizdil46111041472
WAug 13 · 13:10M. Filipek48119125113T. Hnizdil48711101192
M. Filipek10
WSep 15 · 13:54M. Filipek2.20811711113O. Knazik1.6111711972WSep 15 · 11:20J. Osmera2.258330M. Filipek1.571111113WSep 15 · 10:50O. Knazik1.57111111642M. Filipek2.25138911113WSep 14 · 10:35M. Filipek1.80148811113A. Kral1.90121111982WSep 14 · 08:55R. Muller1.9175111152M. Filipek1.80111197113WSep 14 · 08:25A. Kral2.00913761M. Filipek1.73111111113LSep 14 · 07:25M. Filipek1.8311851162F. Marat1.83911114113WSep 7 · 10:04R. Muller1.836470M. Filipek1.831111113LSep 7 · 09:25M. Filipek1.831196101F. Balcar1.8361111123LSep 7 · 07:55R. Muller1.91111311113M. Filipek1.80915471
T. Hnizdil10
WSep 15 · 13:24T. Hnizdil1.3641112123J. Osmera3.0011810101LSep 15 · 11:50T. Hnizdil1.503411111O. Knazik2.5011117133WSep 15 · 10:20J. Osmera3.00511471T. Hnizdil1.3611811113WSep 14 · 14:44T. Hnizdil1.4011811113J. Osmera2.80411931LSep 14 · 13:25S. Holik2.255101111143T. Hnizdil1.57111248122WSep 14 · 12:25T. Hnizdil1.401111119113J. Osmera2.7513721192WSep 14 · 10:55O. Knazik2.2548100T. Hnizdil1.571111123WSep 13 · 18:24T. Hnizdil1.1411611113P. Vodal5.00311571WSep 13 · 17:25P. Vodal3.508740T. Hnizdil1.281111113WSep 13 · 16:25T. Hnizdil1.8011119113J. Cousin1.91751151
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