TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13125976
Played Sep 13Finished
Tomas Hnizdil
Home
1.14
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113611115117––
Petr Vodal
Away
5.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingTomas Hnizdil above · Petr Vodal below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 65 set 4, 11-7
65 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hnizdil 21–6 Petr Vodal Petr Vodal has won 6 of their 27 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Hnizdil beat Vodal 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Hnizdil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vodal form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (20%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHnizdil 1.14 / Vodal 5.00
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Hnizdil)+5.4pp
TT Cup · #13125976
Hnizdil1.14
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 46 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it84% 32 of 38
Vodal5.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 45 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back33% 18 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHnizdil8wins
AwayVodal2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHnizdil leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHnizdil100%8 of 8
AwayVodaln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hnizdil8Vodal2n = 10Hnizdil took 8 of 10
S2Hnizdil8Vodal2n = 10Hnizdil took 8 of 10
S3Hnizdil6Vodal4n = 10Hnizdil took 6 of 10
S4Hnizdil4Vodal0n = 4Hnizdil took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHnizdilVodalH − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.128.2+8.9per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHnizdilVodalBasisWin rate · lifetime148 / 246 vs 252 / 49560.2%50.9%148 / 246 vs 252 / 495Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HnizdilHnizdil 1.14/Vodal 5.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
86.8%
Hnizdil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hnizdil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 17:25T. Hnizdil331111113P. Vodal198740
WSep 11 · 10:30T. Hnizdil341211113P. Vodal2510870
WSep 11 · 08:25T. Hnizdil4211117133P. Vodal345711111
LSep 6 · 07:50T. Hnizdil4681171192P. Vodal47116118113
WSep 5 · 07:25T. Hnizdil351311113P. Vodal2511680
WJul 22 · 07:55T. Hnizdil361411113P. Vodal1912430
LJun 29 · 07:55T. Hnizdil248970P. Vodal331111113
WFeb 28 · 13:55T. Hnizdil351311113P. Vodal2411760
WJan 27 · 12:20T. Hnizdil4211119113P. Vodal27461161
WAug 17 · 08:40T. Hnizdil44111111113P. Vodal29613281
T. Hnizdil10
WSep 13 · 17:25P. Vodal3.508740T. Hnizdil1.281111113WSep 13 · 16:25T. Hnizdil1.8011119113J. Cousin1.91751151WSep 13 · 14:55J. Dohnal2.20781191T. Hnizdil1.6111117113WSep 11 · 10:30T. Hnizdil1.251211113P. Vodal3.7510870LSep 11 · 08:55V. Koutnik2.501013611123T. Hnizdil1.501211114102WSep 11 · 08:25P. Vodal3.405711111T. Hnizdil1.3011117133WSep 11 · 07:25T. Hnizdil1.6581111123B. Budik2.101178101WSep 9 · 14:00T. Hnizdil1.2791111113F. Dvorak3.30118861LSep 9 · 12:50A. Jr3.751113511113T. Hnizdil1.25131111962WSep 9 · 11:50T. Hnizdil1.4011119123T. Jr2.755711101
P. Vodal10
LSep 13 · 17:25P. Vodal3.508740T. Hnizdil1.281111113WSep 13 · 15:55J. Dohnal1.839111121P. Vodal1.8311138113WSep 13 · 15:25J. Cousin1.73411771P. Vodal2.0011711113LSep 12 · 14:02V. Koutnik1.5071312113P. Vodal2.4011111081LSep 12 · 13:25P. Vodal2.1012770V. Koutnik1.671411113LSep 12 · 11:55L. Rek1.801111133P. Vodal1.9158110LSep 12 · 11:25C. Kratochvil2.3811156113P. Vodal1.539131171LSep 12 · 10:35P. Vodal2.455890B. Budik1.501111113LSep 11 · 10:30T. Hnizdil1.251211113P. Vodal3.7510870LSep 11 · 08:25P. Vodal3.405711111T. Hnizdil1.3011117133
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