TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13127074
Played Sep 14Finished
Ondrej Knazik
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4118111012––––
Tomas Hnizdil
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:17 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeTomas Hnizdil to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Knazik above · Tomas Hnizdil below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 56 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Tomas Hnizdil at 60.1%
56 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Knazik 17–24 Tomas Hnizdil Ondrej Knazik has won 17 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:17What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hnizdil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-24 in 41
Hnizdil
Correct
gap of 7 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Knazik 1571 vs Hnizdil 1663
Hnizdil
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Knazik 60% vs Hnizdil 100%
Hnizdil
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Knazik 50% vs Hnizdil 80%
Hnizdil
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Knazik +1 · Hnizdil +5
Hnizdil
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Hnizdil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hnizdil form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKnazik 2.25 / Hnizdil 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Hnizdil)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13127074
Knazik2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 64 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back21% 19 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 50
Hnizdil1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite69% won 50 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it86% 36 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKnazik4wins
AwayHnizdil6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHnizdil leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKnazik66.7%4 of 6
AwayHnizdil100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Knazik6Hnizdil4n = 10Knazik took 6 of 10
S2Knazik6Hnizdil4n = 10Knazik took 6 of 10
S3Knazik3Hnizdil7n = 10Hnizdil took 7 of 10
S4Knazik4Hnizdil5n = 9Hnizdil took 5 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKnazikHnizdilK − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.236.8−0.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKnazikHnizdilBasisWin rate · lifetime455 / 881 vs 149 / 24751.7%60.3%455 / 881 vs 149 / 247Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HnizdilKnazik 2.25/Hnizdil 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Hnizdil · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hnizdil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 13:25O. Knazik389611121T. Hnizdil4411118143
LAug 11 · 10:20O. Knazik37118991T. Hnizdil3521111113
LJul 27 · 13:55O. Knazik33711961T. Hnizdil4011711113
WJul 27 · 11:20O. Knazik4112126113T. Hnizdil4010101191
LJul 18 · 13:55O. Knazik3711471142T. Hnizdil49911117113
WJul 18 · 13:25O. Knazik341112113T. Hnizdil2341090
WMar 15 · 13:50O. Knazik4011117113T. Hnizdil27751141
LFeb 28 · 11:55O. Knazik30711481T. Hnizdil4011711113
WFeb 23 · 14:25O. Knazik44111111113T. Hnizdil32661371
LFeb 15 · 14:47O. Knazik28841151T. Hnizdil381111883
O. Knazik10
WSep 3 · 14:39V. Koutnik2.25441161O. Knazik1.5711119113LSep 3 · 13:25T. Hnizdil1.5711118143O. Knazik2.259611121WSep 3 · 12:25O. Knazik1.401111113T. Rein2.753540WSep 3 · 10:55V. Koutnik2.20118971O. Knazik1.6161111113LSep 1 · 21:25O. Knazik2.401113561B. Budik1.5181511113LSep 1 · 20:50O. Knazik1.73961141R. Muller2.0011117113LSep 1 · 19:20J. Dohnal1.612121111113O. Knazik2.20111013982WSep 1 · 18:50B. Budik1.856680O. Knazik1.851111113WAug 31 · 10:03A. Jr2.639980O. Knazik1.441111113LAug 31 · 09:25L. Rek1.91116117113O. Knazik1.8051171192
T. Hnizdil10
WSep 13 · 18:24T. Hnizdil1.1411611113P. Vodal5.00311571WSep 13 · 17:25P. Vodal3.508740T. Hnizdil1.281111113WSep 13 · 16:25T. Hnizdil1.8011119113J. Cousin1.91751151WSep 13 · 14:55J. Dohnal2.20781191T. Hnizdil1.6111117113WSep 11 · 10:30T. Hnizdil1.251211113P. Vodal3.7510870LSep 11 · 08:55V. Koutnik2.501013611123T. Hnizdil1.501211114102WSep 11 · 08:25P. Vodal3.405711111T. Hnizdil1.3011117133WSep 11 · 07:25T. Hnizdil1.6581111123B. Budik2.101178101WSep 9 · 14:00T. Hnizdil1.2791111113F. Dvorak3.30118861WSep 3 · 13:25T. Hnizdil1.5711118143O. Knazik2.259611121
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