TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13135390
Played Sep 15Finished
Martin Filipek
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811117711119117
Ondrej Knazik
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingMartin Filipek above · Ondrej Knazik below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 93 set 5, 11-7
93 points played in total.
H2H Martin Filipek 13–17 Ondrej Knazik Martin Filipek has won 13 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Filipek beat Knazik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Knazik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Filipek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFilipek 2.20 / Knazik 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Knazik)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13135390
Filipek2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog42% won 74 of 178
Down 0–1, comes back26% 24 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 43
Knazik1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 67 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it88% 35 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it64% 46 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFilipek5wins
AwayKnazik5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFilipek75%3 of 4
AwayKnazik66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Filipek4Knazik6n = 10Knazik took 6 of 10
S2Filipek2Knazik8n = 10Knazik took 8 of 10
S3Filipek4Knazik6n = 10Knazik took 6 of 10
S4Filipek4Knazik4n = 8split evenly
S5Filipek4Knazik0n = 4Filipek took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFilipekKnazikF − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.239.5−1.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFilipekKnazikBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 603 vs 451 / 87644.3%51.5%267 / 603 vs 451 / 876Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KnazikFilipek 2.20/Knazik 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Knazik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Filipek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 10:50M. Filipek52138911113O. Knazik43111111642
LAug 24 · 12:25M. Filipek29113781O. Knazik4071111113
LAug 14 · 14:10M. Filipek25105100O. Knazik351211123
LAug 14 · 12:25M. Filipek33981151O. Knazik3911116113
LAug 11 · 13:35M. Filipek4111811111O. Knazik4513118133
WAug 11 · 11:20M. Filipek44611411123O. Knazik47118117102
WJun 16 · 12:55M. Filipek45841111113O. Knazik3711115552
LApr 14 · 13:20M. Filipek227960O. Knazik331111113
WApr 14 · 10:50M. Filipek4111118113O. Knazik33681181
WApr 13 · 10:55M. Filipek50118119113O. Knazik4381161172
M. Filipek10
WSep 15 · 12:50M. Filipek2.2513127113T. Hnizdil1.5711101181WSep 15 · 11:20J. Osmera2.258330M. Filipek1.571111113WSep 15 · 10:50O. Knazik1.57111111642M. Filipek2.25138911113WSep 14 · 10:35M. Filipek1.80148811113A. Kral1.90121111982WSep 14 · 08:55R. Muller1.9175111152M. Filipek1.80111197113WSep 14 · 08:25A. Kral2.00913761M. Filipek1.73111111113LSep 14 · 07:25M. Filipek1.8311851162F. Marat1.83911114113WSep 7 · 10:04R. Muller1.836470M. Filipek1.831111113LSep 7 · 09:25M. Filipek1.831196101F. Balcar1.8361111123LSep 7 · 07:55R. Muller1.91111311113M. Filipek1.80915471
O. Knazik10
WSep 15 · 12:20J. Osmera1.73711651O. Knazik2.0011911113WSep 15 · 11:50T. Hnizdil1.503411111O. Knazik2.5011117133LSep 15 · 10:50O. Knazik1.57111111642M. Filipek2.25138911113WSep 14 · 14:13S. Holik1.8351191162O. Knazik1.83119118113LSep 14 · 12:55O. Knazik1.835111071J. Osmera1.8311412113LSep 14 · 11:55O. Knazik1.67117691S. Holik2.1051111113LSep 14 · 10:55O. Knazik2.2548100T. Hnizdil1.571111123WSep 3 · 14:39V. Koutnik2.25441161O. Knazik1.5711119113LSep 3 · 13:25T. Hnizdil1.5711118143O. Knazik2.259611121WSep 3 · 12:25O. Knazik1.401111113T. Rein2.753540
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