TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Petr Zmuda vs Daniel Tuma 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Petr Zmuda
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711117811811––
Daniel Tuma
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:33 and never touched — 55.2% is still 55.2%
Graded at full timePetr Zmuda to win
55.2%
55.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Zmuda above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Petr Zmuda at 55.2%
74 points played in total.
H2H Petr Zmuda 11–10 Daniel Tuma Daniel Tuma has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:33What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zmuda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-10 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zmuda 1601 vs Tuma 1571
Zmuda
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zmuda 60% vs Tuma 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zmuda 60% vs Tuma 40%
Zmuda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zmuda +2 · Tuma +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zmuda) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZmuda 1.80 / Tuma 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zmuda)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13164756
Zmuda1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 55 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it84% 36 of 43
Tuma1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 166 of 354
Down 0–1, comes back29% 55 of 187
Down 0–2, comes back10% 10 of 97
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZmuda5wins
AwayTuma5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZmuda100%3 of 3
AwayTuma71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zmuda3Tuma7n = 10Tuma took 7 of 10
S2Zmuda8Tuma2n = 10Zmuda took 8 of 10
S3Zmuda5Tuma5n = 10split evenly
S4Zmuda3Tuma4n = 7Tuma took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZmudaTumaZ − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.838.0−0.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZmudaTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 241 vs 774 / 147751.5%52.4%124 / 241 vs 774 / 1477Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZmudaZmuda 1.80/Tuma 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zmuda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 07:30P. Zmuda52913111092D. Tuma531111812113
WAug 22 · 09:00P. Zmuda351113113D. Tuma2551190
LAug 22 · 07:30P. Zmuda326511101D. Tuma4011116123
WAug 10 · 22:00P. Zmuda361113123D. Tuma27611100
LAug 1 · 18:00P. Zmuda2385100D. Tuma341111123
LAug 1 · 02:58P. Zmuda354119111D. Tuma4311811133
LAug 1 · 24:00P. Zmuda32811581D. Tuma3811511113
WJul 28 · 08:58P. Zmuda50411915113D. Tuma51119111372
WJul 28 · 07:30P. Zmuda3611113113D. Tuma32791151
WJul 27 · 01:30P. Zmuda47121113113D. Tuma371451171
P. Zmuda10
WSep 21 · 23:00P. Zmuda1.61111110113A. Hlawatschke2.20161261WSep 21 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.7311101191P. Zmuda2.0081213113LSep 21 · 03:30P. Zmuda1.871181891R. Krejci1.8341120113LSep 21 · 02:30R. Krejci2.251116510113P. Zmuda1.57614111242WSep 21 · 01:00V. Postelt2.00111171452P. Zmuda1.73871116113WSep 20 · 23:30P. Zmuda1.831411113D. Kouble1.8312940WSep 20 · 22:00P. Zmuda1.501111113J. Prokupek2.509870LSep 17 · 09:28P. Zmuda2.001181191M. Volf1.7313114113WSep 17 · 08:30M. Volf1.671261071P. Zmuda2.10101112113LSep 17 · 07:30P. Zmuda1.83913111092D. Tuma1.831111812113
D. Tuma10
WSep 21 · 23:30M. Vedmoch2.501011841D. Tuma1.5012911113LSep 21 · 22:30D. Tuma1.73118551R. Krejci2.0061111113LSep 21 · 21:28D. Tuma2.001177101T. Vinter1.7391111123WSep 21 · 20:00D. Tuma1.731111153J. Stolfa2.0098130WSep 21 · 19:30T. Vinter1.8381111111D. Tuma1.8311137133WSep 21 · 18:00D. Tuma2.1011119113T. Janata1.67791191LSep 21 · 02:30D. Tuma2.105770M. Chlebecek1.671111113LSep 21 · 01:30P. Pycha1.571111113D. Tuma2.259690LSep 21 · 24:00D. Tuma2.107890M. Vizek1.671111113WSep 17 · 07:30P. Zmuda1.83913111092D. Tuma1.831111812113
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