TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Daniel Tuma vs Tomas Vinter 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Daniel Tuma
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1197117111012––
Tomas Vinter
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Tomas Vinter below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 78 set 4, 10-12
78 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tuma 25–23 Tomas Vinter Tomas Vinter has won 23 of their 48 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Tuma beat Vinter 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vinter)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vinter form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 2.00 / Vinter 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vinter)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13173307
Tuma2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 166 of 354
Down 0–1, comes back29% 55 of 187
Down 0–2, comes back10% 10 of 97
Vinter1.73
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 72 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it81% 60 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuma8wins
AwayVinter2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTuma leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuma85.7%6 of 7
AwayVinter33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma7Vinter3n = 10Tuma took 7 of 10
S2Tuma7Vinter3n = 10Tuma took 7 of 10
S3Tuma4Vinter6n = 10Vinter took 6 of 10
S4Tuma4Vinter6n = 10Vinter took 6 of 10
S5Tuma4Vinter0n = 4Tuma took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTumaVinterT − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.643.4+1.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaVinterBasisWin rate · lifetime774 / 1476 vs 261 / 51752.4%50.5%774 / 1476 vs 261 / 517Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VinterTuma 2.00/Vinter 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Vinter · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vinter won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 19:30D. Tuma4411137133T. Vinter4181111111
WSep 3 · 19:00D. Tuma43111119113T. Vinter4241181182
WAug 29 · 17:30D. Tuma531111116143T. Vinter53891311122
WAug 29 · 14:30D. Tuma4211128113T. Vinter399101191
WAug 26 · 16:59D. Tuma5013179113T. Vinter4611151191
WAug 26 · 15:00D. Tuma4011711113T. Vinter30811561
WAug 20 · 14:00D. Tuma49712115143T. Vinter471110311122
WAug 12 · 18:00D. Tuma44311118113T. Vinter4411781172
LAug 2 · 14:30D. Tuma38149691T. Vinter45121111113
LAug 2 · 12:00D. Tuma4381110141T. Vinter4711812163
D. Tuma10
WSep 21 · 20:00D. Tuma1.731111153J. Stolfa2.0098130WSep 21 · 19:30T. Vinter1.8381111111D. Tuma1.8311137133WSep 21 · 18:00D. Tuma2.1011119113T. Janata1.67791191LSep 21 · 02:30D. Tuma2.105770M. Chlebecek1.671111113LSep 21 · 01:30P. Pycha1.571111113D. Tuma2.259690LSep 21 · 24:00D. Tuma2.107890M. Vizek1.671111113LSep 20 · 23:00M. Sobisek1.83146119113D. Tuma1.83121151182LSep 20 · 17:29D. Tuma1.8389100T. Holik1.831111123WSep 20 · 16:00J. Holubec1.401111117102D. Tuma2.75771311123WSep 20 · 15:00J. Stolfa1.915770D. Tuma1.801111113
T. Vinter10
WSep 21 · 20:30T. Janata1.808133111T. Vinter1.91111111133LSep 21 · 19:30T. Vinter1.8381111111D. Tuma1.8311137133WSep 21 · 18:30J. Stolfa1.5711811862T. Vinter2.25411811113WSep 13 · 13:30T. Vinter1.77861111123J. Prokupek1.93111179102WSep 13 · 12:00T. Vinter1.361111113F. Jungman3.005790WSep 13 · 11:30K. Darin3.5010960T. Vinter1.281211113WSep 13 · 10:00T. Vinter1.53111211113J. Prokupek2.38314951WSep 10 · 13:30T. Vinter1.601111113V. Postelt2.206870WSep 10 · 12:00J. Dedek1.916660T. Vinter1.801111113WSep 10 · 11:00M. Kolar2.2012840T. Vinter1.611411113
Upcoming Matches
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T. Vinter
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