TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Janata vs Tomas Vinter 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Tomas Janata
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
81113113111113––
Tomas Vinter
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Janata to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Janata above · Tomas Vinter below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 81 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Tomas Janata at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Janata 7–5 Tomas Vinter Tomas Vinter has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:21What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Janata
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Janata
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Janata 1583 vs Vinter 1563
Janata
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Janata 60% vs Vinter 80%
Vinter
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Janata 80% vs Vinter 90%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Janata -1 · Vinter -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Janata)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vinter form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJanata 1.80 / Vinter 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Janata)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165844
Janata1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 111 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it91% 51 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it76% 80 of 106
Vinter1.91
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 44 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJanata6wins
AwayVinter4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderJanata leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJanata100%4 of 4
AwayVinter66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Janata4Vinter6n = 10Vinter took 6 of 10
S2Janata6Vinter4n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S3Janata7Vinter3n = 10Janata took 7 of 10
S4Janata2Vinter3n = 5Vinter took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJanataVinterJ − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.132.1+1.0per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJanataVinterBasisWin rate · lifetime438 / 832 vs 261 / 51752.6%50.5%438 / 832 vs 261 / 517Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataJanata 1.80/Vinter 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vinter won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 20:30T. Janata358133111T. Vinter46111111133
LAug 30 · 20:59T. Janata2495100T. Vinter341111123
LAug 30 · 20:30T. Janata24410100T. Vinter351112123
WAug 26 · 14:00T. Janata4271111133T. Vinter361186111
WAug 21 · 07:00T. Janata3411111113T. Vinter31116861
WJun 23 · 20:00T. Janata331111113T. Vinter178630
WMay 6 · 20:58T. Janata48119116113T. Vinter3931171172
WMay 6 · 18:00T. Janata341211113T. Vinter2310670
WApr 7 · 18:00T. Janata331111113T. Vinter194960
LMar 3 · 22:28T. Janata24541141T. Vinter4111118113
T. Janata10
WSep 21 · 20:58T. Janata1.80115911113J. Stolfa1.9161111552WSep 21 · 19:00T. Janata1.832111111113J. Stolfa1.8311132782LSep 21 · 18:00D. Tuma2.1011119113T. Janata1.67791191WSep 14 · 21:30L. Krticka2.10511111042T. Janata1.67118812113WSep 14 · 20:00T. Janata1.501212113T. Dousa2.50101090LSep 14 · 19:30L. Krticka2.2511118113T. Janata1.57981171WSep 14 · 18:00T. Janata1.8311113113M. Sedlak1.83871161WSep 12 · 03:30T. Janata1.5261111113T. Dousa2.35119991WSep 12 · 02:30T. Janata1.40711611113J. Dedek2.7511711662WSep 12 · 01:30T. Dousa2.381011911112T. Janata1.53127118133
T. Vinter10
WSep 21 · 21:28D. Tuma2.001177101T. Vinter1.7391111123LSep 21 · 19:30T. Vinter1.8381111111D. Tuma1.8311137133WSep 21 · 18:30J. Stolfa1.5711811862T. Vinter2.25411811113WSep 13 · 13:30T. Vinter1.77861111123J. Prokupek1.93111179102WSep 13 · 12:00T. Vinter1.361111113F. Jungman3.005790WSep 13 · 11:30K. Darin3.5010960T. Vinter1.281211113WSep 13 · 10:00T. Vinter1.53111211113J. Prokupek2.38314951WSep 10 · 13:30T. Vinter1.601111113V. Postelt2.206870WSep 10 · 12:00J. Dedek1.916660T. Vinter1.801111113WSep 10 · 11:00M. Kolar2.2012840T. Vinter1.611411113
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