TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Jakub Stolfa
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
114811118811611
Tomas Vinter
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:13 and never touched — 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Vinter to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Tomas Vinter below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 89 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Tomas Vinter at 62.8%
89 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Stolfa 7–5 Tomas Vinter Tomas Vinter has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:13What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Stolfa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Stolfa
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stolfa 1528 vs Vinter 1562
Vinter
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stolfa 80% vs Vinter 100%
Vinter
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stolfa 50% vs Vinter 100%
Vinter
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stolfa +1 · Vinter +10
Vinter
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Stolfa) · live re-read · sealed at 37% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vinter form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolfa 1.57 / Vinter 2.25
Signal prob.58% / 43%
Edge (Stolfa)-1.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13164649
Stolfa1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 78 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it100% 32 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it79% 51 of 65
Vinter2.25
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 8 days ago (Sep 13) · back after a break
Won last 10
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog39% won 44 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStolfa7wins
AwayVinter3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderStolfa leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStolfa66.7%4 of 6
AwayVinter25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stolfa6Vinter4n = 10Stolfa took 6 of 10
S2Stolfa4Vinter6n = 10Vinter took 6 of 10
S3Stolfa6Vinter4n = 10Stolfa took 6 of 10
S4Stolfa5Vinter4n = 9Stolfa took 5 of 9
S5Stolfa4Vinter1n = 5Stolfa took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStolfaVinterS − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.938.9+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolfaVinterBasisWin rate · lifetime192 / 378 vs 260 / 51550.8%50.5%192 / 378 vs 260 / 515Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StolfaStolfa 1.57/Vinter 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.5%
Stolfa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vinter won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 18:30J. Stolfa4411811862T. Vinter45411811113
WSep 10 · 06:00J. Stolfa47117117113T. Vinter4561191182
WAug 21 · 12:59J. Stolfa4211911113T. Vinter33611881
WAug 21 · 12:30J. Stolfa331111113T. Vinter208570
WJul 21 · 10:30J. Stolfa491011611113T. Vinter4212611582
WJul 7 · 09:30J. Stolfa49651111163T. Vinter50111168142
LJul 7 · 08:00J. Stolfa32119751T. Vinter3961111113
LJul 4 · 15:06J. Stolfa33711781T. Vinter4111811113
WJul 4 · 10:00J. Stolfa4211911113T. Vinter28711461
WJul 2 · 10:00J. Stolfa48611911113T. Vinter4611811792
J. Stolfa10
LSep 21 · 19:00T. Janata1.832111111113J. Stolfa1.8311132782WSep 20 · 21:30J. Stolfa1.651011711113R. Pavelka2.1012511482LSep 20 · 20:00V. Postelt1.8311911113J. Stolfa1.83911581WSep 20 · 19:00P. Budinsky2.004101161J. Stolfa1.7211126113WSep 20 · 18:30J. Stolfa1.801111113R. Pavelka1.909760WSep 20 · 16:58J. Holubec1.9191111182J. Stolfa1.80114113113LSep 20 · 16:30J. Stolfa2.10511681T. Holik1.6711611113LSep 20 · 15:00J. Stolfa1.915770D. Tuma1.801111113WSep 20 · 14:00J. Holubec1.57881181J. Stolfa2.2511116113LSep 18 · 09:00M. Vizek1.6111118113J. Stolfa2.20751171
T. Vinter10
LSep 21 · 19:30T. Vinter1.8381111111D. Tuma1.8311137133WSep 13 · 13:30T. Vinter1.77861111123J. Prokupek1.93111179102WSep 13 · 12:00T. Vinter1.361111113F. Jungman3.005790WSep 13 · 11:30K. Darin3.5010960T. Vinter1.281211113WSep 13 · 10:00T. Vinter1.53111211113J. Prokupek2.38314951WSep 10 · 13:30T. Vinter1.601111113V. Postelt2.206870WSep 10 · 12:00J. Dedek1.916660T. Vinter1.801111113WSep 10 · 11:00M. Kolar2.2012840T. Vinter1.611411113WSep 10 · 10:30T. Vinter1.731111113V. Postelt2.009860WSep 10 · 08:58T. Vinter1.7311711123M. Vesely2.002116101
Upcoming Matches
J. Stolfa
Nothing scheduled
T. Vinter
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