TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Tomas Vinter
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 11Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 11
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
81111131171113––
Daniel Tuma
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:44 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeTomas Vinter to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Vinter above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 85 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Tomas Vinter at 58.2%
85 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vinter 23–24 Daniel Tuma Tomas Vinter has won 23 of their 47 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:44What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Tuma
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-24 in 47
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vinter 1562 vs Tuma 1557
Vinter
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vinter 100% vs Tuma 20%
Vinter
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vinter 100% vs Tuma 30%
Vinter
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vinter +11 · Tuma +1
Vinter
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vinter) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVinter 1.83 / Tuma 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vinter)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13164757
Vinter1.83
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 11
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Tuma1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVinter3wins
AwayTuma7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTuma leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVinter50%2 of 4
AwayTuma83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vinter4Tuma6n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S2Vinter3Tuma7n = 10Tuma took 7 of 10
S3Vinter6Tuma4n = 10Vinter took 6 of 10
S4Vinter7Tuma3n = 10Vinter took 7 of 10
S5Vinter0Tuma4n = 4Tuma took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVinterTumaV − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.443.6−0.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVinterTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime260 / 515 vs 772 / 147450.5%52.4%260 / 515 vs 772 / 1474Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VinterVinter 1.83/Tuma 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vinter · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter4241181182D. Tuma43111119113
LAug 29 · 17:30T. Vinter53891311122D. Tuma531111116143
LAug 29 · 14:30T. Vinter399101191D. Tuma4211128113
LAug 26 · 16:59T. Vinter4611151191D. Tuma5013179113
LAug 26 · 15:00T. Vinter30811561D. Tuma4011711113
LAug 20 · 14:00T. Vinter471110311122D. Tuma49712115143
LAug 12 · 18:00T. Vinter4411781172D. Tuma44311118113
WAug 2 · 14:30T. Vinter45121111113D. Tuma38149691
WAug 2 · 12:00T. Vinter4711812163D. Tuma4381110141
WJul 19 · 21:30T. Vinter4112711113D. Tuma341011491
T. Vinter10
WSep 21 · 18:30J. Stolfa1.5711811862T. Vinter2.25411811113WSep 13 · 13:30T. Vinter1.77861111123J. Prokupek1.93111179102WSep 13 · 12:00T. Vinter1.361111113F. Jungman3.005790WSep 13 · 11:30K. Darin3.5010960T. Vinter1.281211113WSep 13 · 10:00T. Vinter1.53111211113J. Prokupek2.38314951WSep 10 · 13:30T. Vinter1.601111113V. Postelt2.206870WSep 10 · 12:00J. Dedek1.916660T. Vinter1.801111113WSep 10 · 11:00M. Kolar2.2012840T. Vinter1.611411113WSep 10 · 10:30T. Vinter1.731111113V. Postelt2.009860WSep 10 · 08:58T. Vinter1.7311711123M. Vesely2.002116101
D. Tuma10
WSep 21 · 20:00D. Tuma1.731111153J. Stolfa2.0098130WSep 21 · 18:00D. Tuma2.1011119113T. Janata1.67791191LSep 21 · 02:30D. Tuma2.105770M. Chlebecek1.671111113LSep 21 · 01:30P. Pycha1.571111113D. Tuma2.259690LSep 21 · 24:00D. Tuma2.107890M. Vizek1.671111113LSep 20 · 23:00M. Sobisek1.83146119113D. Tuma1.83121151182LSep 20 · 17:29D. Tuma1.8389100T. Holik1.831111123WSep 20 · 16:00J. Holubec1.401111117102D. Tuma2.75771311123WSep 20 · 15:00J. Stolfa1.915770D. Tuma1.801111113LSep 20 · 14:30D. Tuma1.83101111352T. Holik1.83129811113
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