TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Daniel Tuma
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711711––––
Marek Chlebecek
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tuma to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Marek Chlebecek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 52 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Daniel Tuma at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tuma 2–6 Marek Chlebecek Daniel Tuma has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:44What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Chlebecek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Chlebecek
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1518 vs Chlebecek 1518
Tuma
Wrong
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 20% vs Chlebecek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 30% vs Chlebecek 10%
Tuma
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma -4 · Chlebecek +1
Tuma
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Chlebecek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chlebecek form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 2.10 / Chlebecek 1.67
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Chlebecek)-1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13164751
Tuma2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog47% won 166 of 352
Down 0–1, comes back30% 55 of 185
Down 0–2, comes back11% 10 of 95
Chlebecek1.67
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 31 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it72% 26 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeTuma2wins
AwayChlebecek6wins
1 of 8 to a deciderChlebecek leads 6–2, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuman = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayChlebecek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma2Chlebecek6n = 8Chlebecek took 6 of 8
S2Tuma3Chlebecek5n = 8Chlebecek took 5 of 8
S3Tuma3Chlebecek5n = 8Chlebecek took 5 of 8
S4Tuma2Chlebecek3n = 5Chlebecek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away338%
These 8 meetings
MetricTumaChlebecekT − CBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match32.136.9−4.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaChlebecekBasisWin rate · lifetime773 / 1476 vs 112 / 24052.4%46.7%773 / 1476 vs 112 / 240Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChlebecekTuma 2.10/Chlebecek 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.8%
Chlebecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chlebecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJun 30 · 01:00D. Tuma2310940M. Chlebecek341211113
WApr 22 · 15:30D. Tuma3611113113M. Chlebecek34781181
WApr 5 · 20:00D. Tuma4491311113M. Chlebecek351111761
LApr 2 · 01:00D. Tuma29115671M. Chlebecek3851111113
LMar 23 · 24:30D. Tuma226970M. Chlebecek331111113
LMar 7 · 12:30D. Tuma2110380M. Chlebecek341211113
LFeb 9 · 03:30D. Tuma33681271M. Chlebecek43111110113
LJan 23 · 02:30D. Tuma49101111982M. Chlebecek44123711113
D. Tuma10
LSep 21 · 01:30P. Pycha1.571111113D. Tuma2.259690LSep 21 · 24:00D. Tuma2.107890M. Vizek1.671111113LSep 20 · 23:00M. Sobisek1.83146119113D. Tuma1.83121151182LSep 20 · 17:29D. Tuma1.8389100T. Holik1.831111123WSep 20 · 16:00J. Holubec1.401111117102D. Tuma2.75771311123WSep 20 · 15:00J. Stolfa1.915770D. Tuma1.801111113LSep 20 · 14:30D. Tuma1.83101111352T. Holik1.83129811113LSep 19 · 02:00P. Pycha1.57101111113D. Tuma2.25125911LSep 19 · 24:30D. Tuma2.639450J. Holubec1.441111113WSep 18 · 23:00D. Tuma2.7561111113M. Sychra1.40119991
M. Chlebecek10
LSep 21 · 03:30P. Pycha1.531311113M. Chlebecek2.1911260WSep 21 · 01:00M. Vizek2.109129101M. Chlebecek1.67111011123LSep 20 · 23:30M. Chlebecek2.208117101P. Pycha1.6111611123LSep 20 · 22:00M. Chlebecek1.671312411112M. Sobisek2.1011101113133LSep 20 · 08:59M. Regner1.571111113M. Chlebecek2.257680LSep 20 · 08:00M. Nohejl1.831311113M. Chlebecek1.8311560LSep 20 · 07:00M. Regner1.731111113M. Chlebecek2.006780LSep 20 · 06:30M. Chlebecek1.8328110J. Holubec1.831111133LSep 19 · 21:15R. Pacha—11912113M. Chlebecek—7111071LSep 19 · 20:30R. Pacha1.5311811113M. Chlebecek2.38611861
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