TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Marek Chlebecek
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111167111012––
Patrik Pycha
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePatrik Pycha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Chlebecek above · Patrik Pycha below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 76 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Patrik Pycha at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Marek Chlebecek 9–9 Patrik Pycha Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickContradict
Sealed 14:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Pycha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-9 in 18
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chlebecek 1510 vs Pycha 1631
Pycha
Correct
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chlebecek 0% vs Pycha 60%
Pycha
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chlebecek 10% vs Pycha 70%
Pycha
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chlebecek -8 · Pycha +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Pycha) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chlebecek form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChlebecek 2.20 / Pycha 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Pycha)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13160013
Chlebecek2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 27 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back29% 11 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Pycha1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 70 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it96% 43 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it80% 53 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChlebecek6wins
AwayPycha4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderChlebecek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChlebecekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPycha50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chlebecek2Pycha8n = 10Pycha took 8 of 10
S2Chlebecek4Pycha6n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S3Chlebecek4Pycha6n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S4Chlebecek5Pycha2n = 7Chlebecek took 5 of 7
S5Chlebecek4Pycha0n = 4Chlebecek took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricChlebecekPychaC − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.237.4−0.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChlebecekPychaBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 240 vs 500 / 95146.7%52.6%112 / 240 vs 500 / 951Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChlebecekChlebecek 2.20/Pycha 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Pycha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pycha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 8 · 02:00M. Chlebecek4112117113P. Pycha301041151
LJul 24 · 01:30M. Chlebecek195860P. Pycha331111113
LJul 11 · 24:30M. Chlebecek2581070P. Pycha341112113
LJul 6 · 23:00M. Chlebecek2591060P. Pycha341112113
LJun 30 · 02:58M. Chlebecek327111041P. Pycha4111712113
WJun 30 · 02:00M. Chlebecek501111116113P. Pycha4213761152
WMay 15 · 23:00M. Chlebecek44381111113P. Pycha4011116932
WMay 5 · 02:00M. Chlebecek3611311113P. Pycha31611591
WMar 7 · 11:30M. Chlebecek541411711113P. Pycha4916911672
WFeb 9 · 01:00M. Chlebecek46581111113P. Pycha4011116752
M. Chlebecek10
LSep 20 · 22:00M. Chlebecek1.671312411112M. Sobisek2.1011101113133LSep 20 · 08:59M. Regner1.571111113M. Chlebecek2.257680LSep 20 · 08:00M. Nohejl1.831311113M. Chlebecek1.8311560LSep 20 · 07:00M. Regner1.731111113M. Chlebecek2.006780LSep 20 · 06:30M. Chlebecek1.8328110J. Holubec1.831111133LSep 19 · 21:15R. Pacha—11912113M. Chlebecek—7111071LSep 19 · 20:30R. Pacha1.5311811113M. Chlebecek2.38611861LSep 19 · 19:30M. Chlebecek2.5011114682J. Zuzanek1.50261111113WSep 19 · 18:30J. Holubec1.67117101162M. Chlebecek2.10511128113LSep 16 · 01:30M. Chlebecek2.10115491M. Sychra1.6751111113
P. Pycha10
WSep 21 · 24:30M. Sobisek2.004850P. Pycha1.731111113WSep 20 · 22:30P. Pycha1.801181110113M. Vizek1.9191151292WSep 19 · 02:59J. Holubec1.7341040P. Pycha2.001112113WSep 19 · 02:00P. Pycha1.57101111113D. Tuma2.25125911LSep 19 · 01:00P. Pycha2.256950J. Hradecky1.571111113LSep 19 · 24:00M. Sychra1.441111113P. Pycha2.636950WSep 18 · 22:30J. Holubec1.6789110P. Pycha2.101111133WSep 15 · 03:30P. Pycha1.601111123D. Tuma2.2055100WSep 15 · 02:30R. Krejci2.38108111262P. Pycha1.531211910113WSep 15 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.83121070P. Pycha1.831412113
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