TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13145709
Played Sep 19Finished
Martin Sychra
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119115––––
Patrik Pycha
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:33 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timePatrik Pycha to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Patrik Pycha below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 53 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Patrik Pycha at 58.1%
53 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 44–64 Patrik Pycha Martin Sychra has won 44 of their 108 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:33What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Sychra
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-64 in 108
Pycha
Wrong
gap of 20 in 108, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1594 vs Pycha 1616
Pycha
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 40% vs Pycha 80%
Pycha
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 40% vs Pycha 70%
Pycha
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra -2 · Pycha +4
Pycha
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Sychra) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pycha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 1.44 / Pycha 2.63
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Sychra)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13145709
Sychra1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 217 of 371
Up 2–0, closes it94% 100 of 107
Up 1–0, closes it80% 151 of 189
Pycha2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 16 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back20% 6 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSychra4wins
AwayPycha6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPycha leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSychra75%3 of 4
AwayPycha83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra4Pycha6n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S2Sychra4Pycha6n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S3Sychra2Pycha8n = 10Pycha took 8 of 10
S4Sychra4Pycha3n = 7Sychra took 4 of 7
S5Sychra2Pycha1n = 3Sychra took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSychraPychaS − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.639.1−4.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraPychaBasisWin rate · lifetime799 / 1528 vs 497 / 94652.3%52.5%799 / 1528 vs 497 / 946Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SychraSychra 1.44/Pycha 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.3%
Sychra · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sychra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WFeb 16 · 24:00M. Sychra51891211113P. Pycha50111110992
LFeb 10 · 03:30M. Sychra2210480P. Pycha341211113
WFeb 8 · 23:30M. Sychra4211119113P. Pycha34781181
LFeb 8 · 21:00M. Sychra409111281P. Pycha4011414113
WFeb 7 · 13:00M. Sychra44121110113P. Pycha341041281
LFeb 7 · 09:00M. Sychra31811481P. Pycha4011711113
LFeb 6 · 03:30M. Sychra162680P. Pycha331111113
WFeb 3 · 14:00M. Sychra461110113113P. Pycha4671281182
LFeb 3 · 11:00M. Sychra179530P. Pycha331111113
LJan 31 · 14:30M. Sychra3712361152P. Pycha471011114113
M. Sychra10
LSep 18 · 23:00D. Tuma2.7561111113M. Sychra1.40119991LSep 17 · 17:29V. Vejvoda1.80115711143M. Sychra1.91611119122WSep 17 · 16:30M. Klement2.0091112762M. Sychra1.731141011113LSep 17 · 15:30M. Sychra2.00138111152M. Vondrak1.731111913113WSep 17 · 14:30V. Vejvoda1.6711121311122M. Sychra2.103141113143LSep 17 · 13:30R. Urbaniec1.3311711113M. Sychra3.25511771LSep 17 · 12:00R. Urbaniec1.361111113M. Sychra3.008140WSep 17 · 11:00R. Wagner1.858640M. Sychra1.851111113WSep 17 · 10:30M. Sychra1.9151112113J. Zuzanek1.801191051LSep 16 · 03:30M. Regner1.68121013113M. Sychra2.0510121191
P. Pycha10
WSep 18 · 22:30J. Holubec1.6789110P. Pycha2.101111133WSep 15 · 03:30P. Pycha1.601111123D. Tuma2.2055100WSep 15 · 02:30R. Krejci2.38108111262P. Pycha1.531211910113WSep 15 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.83121070P. Pycha1.831412113LSep 14 · 23:30P. Pycha1.5761171192D. Tuma2.25119117113WSep 14 · 22:00P. Pycha1.671112113M. Volf2.1071060LSep 13 · 03:28P. Pycha1.807101181R. Krejci1.9111123113LSep 13 · 02:00R. Krejci2.101111113P. Pycha1.678130WSep 13 · 24:30P. Pycha1.8311117113M. Vizek1.83971141WSep 12 · 23:00P. Pycha1.839121112113M. Sobisek1.83111461062
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