TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147054
Played Sep 19Finished
Patrik Pycha
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911511––––
Jakub Hradecky
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:48 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeJakub Hradecky to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatrik Pycha above · Jakub Hradecky below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 53 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Jakub Hradecky at 63.3%
53 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Pycha 10–22 Jakub Hradecky Patrik Pycha has won 10 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:48What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hradecky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-22 in 32
Hradecky
Correct
gap of 12 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pycha 1601 vs Hradecky 1699
Hradecky
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pycha 80% vs Hradecky 60%
Pycha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pycha 60% vs Hradecky 80%
Hradecky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pycha -1 · Hradecky -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Hradecky) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pycha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPycha 2.25 / Hradecky 1.57
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Hradecky)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147054
Pycha2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 16 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back20% 6 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Hradecky1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 92 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it100% 45 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it82% 62 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePycha3wins
AwayHradecky7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHradecky leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePycha60%3 of 5
AwayHradecky100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pycha5Hradecky5n = 10split evenly
S2Pycha4Hradecky6n = 10Hradecky took 6 of 10
S3Pycha5Hradecky5n = 10split evenly
S4Pycha4Hradecky1n = 5Pycha took 4 of 5
S5Pycha0Hradecky4n = 4Hradecky took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPychaHradeckyP − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.038.4−4.4per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPychaHradeckyBasisWin rate · lifetime497 / 947 vs 267 / 48852.5%54.7%497 / 947 vs 267 / 488Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HradeckyPycha 2.25/Hradecky 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.3%
Hradecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hradecky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 18 · 02:30P. Pycha4681171192J. Hradecky48116119113
LJun 1 · 22:00P. Pycha31741731J. Hradecky48111115113
LMay 23 · 03:30P. Pycha4183111182J. Hradecky49111188113
LMay 22 · 22:00P. Pycha3711711172J. Hradecky49711119113
LMar 28 · 23:00P. Pycha46114811122J. Hradecky47811113143
LFeb 12 · 18:00P. Pycha188460J. Hradecky331111113
LFeb 12 · 15:00P. Pycha157350J. Hradecky331111113
WJan 16 · 17:30P. Pycha361111143J. Hradecky2237120
WJan 8 · 02:00P. Pycha331111113J. Hradecky247980
WJan 2 · 08:00P. Pycha371311133J. Hradecky31119110
P. Pycha10
LSep 19 · 24:00M. Sychra1.441111113P. Pycha2.636950WSep 18 · 22:30J. Holubec1.6789110P. Pycha2.101111133WSep 15 · 03:30P. Pycha1.601111123D. Tuma2.2055100WSep 15 · 02:30R. Krejci2.38108111262P. Pycha1.531211910113WSep 15 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.83121070P. Pycha1.831412113LSep 14 · 23:30P. Pycha1.5761171192D. Tuma2.25119117113WSep 14 · 22:00P. Pycha1.671112113M. Volf2.1071060LSep 13 · 03:28P. Pycha1.807101181R. Krejci1.9111123113LSep 13 · 02:00R. Krejci2.101111113P. Pycha1.678130WSep 13 · 24:30P. Pycha1.8311117113M. Vizek1.83971141
J. Hradecky10
LSep 18 · 23:30J. Hradecky2.007550J. Holubec1.731111113WSep 18 · 22:00J. Hradecky1.7381411113D. Tuma2.001112251WSep 18 · 13:29M. Vizek2.1069111192J. Hradecky1.67111187113LSep 18 · 12:00J. Hradecky1.67131011101M. Vizek2.1015125123WSep 18 · 11:30J. Svoboda2.109990J. Hradecky1.671111113WSep 18 · 10:00J. Hradecky1.911110113113M. Sobisek1.8091281192WSep 15 · 13:30J. Hradecky1.3512117133V. Cermak2.9510911111WSep 15 · 12:00J. Hradecky1.6711175113J. Stolfa2.107151181WSep 15 · 11:30V. Cermak2.75118831J. Hradecky1.4061111113WSep 15 · 10:00J. Hradecky1.6111115113J. Svoboda2.20841171
Upcoming Matches
P. Pycha
Nothing scheduled
J. Hradecky
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