TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147103
Played Sep 18Finished
Jan Svoboda
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911911––––
Jakub Hradecky
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:54 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeJakub Hradecky to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Svoboda above · Jakub Hradecky below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 60 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Jakub Hradecky at 56.6%
60 points played in total.
H2H Jan Svoboda 0–2 Jakub Hradecky Jan Svoboda has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hradecky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1625 vs Hradecky 1755
Hradecky
Correct
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 60% vs Hradecky 100%
Hradecky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 40% vs Hradecky 100%
Hradecky
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda -2 · Hradecky +10
Hradecky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hradecky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hradecky form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 2.10 / Hradecky 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Hradecky)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147103
Svoboda2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Hradecky1.67
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite66% won 92 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it100% 45 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it82% 62 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSvoboda0wins
AwayHradecky2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderHradecky leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSvobodaHradeckyS − HBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match37.044.5−7.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaHradeckyBasisWin rate · lifetime19 / 33 vs 264 / 48357.6%54.7%19 / 33 vs 264 / 483Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HradeckySvoboda 2.10/Hradecky 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Hradecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hradecky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 15 · 10:00J. Svoboda30841171J. Hradecky3811115113
LAug 30 · 06:00J. Svoboda4451112792J. Hradecky511181011113
J. Svoboda10
WSep 18 · 12:30M. Sobisek1.671176111J. Svoboda2.1051111133LSep 18 · 10:30M. Vizek1.80811139113J. Svoboda1.91116111162LSep 18 · 09:28J. Svoboda1.919550M. Sobisek1.801111113WSep 18 · 08:00J. Svoboda2.00912511113M. Vizek1.73111011742WSep 18 · 07:30M. Sobisek1.6711145672J. Svoboda2.102121111113WSep 18 · 06:00J. Svoboda1.731111113J. Stolfa2.008770WSep 15 · 12:59J. Stolfa1.8088130J. Svoboda1.911111153LSep 15 · 12:30J. Svoboda1.73611101182V. Cermak2.00119124113LSep 15 · 11:00J. Svoboda1.836117111J. Stolfa1.8311811133LSep 15 · 10:00J. Hradecky1.6111115113J. Svoboda2.20841171
J. Hradecky10
LSep 18 · 12:00J. Hradecky1.67131011101M. Vizek2.1015125123WSep 18 · 10:00J. Hradecky1.911110113113M. Sobisek1.8091281192WSep 15 · 13:30J. Hradecky1.3512117133V. Cermak2.9510911111WSep 15 · 12:00J. Hradecky1.6711175113J. Stolfa2.107151181WSep 15 · 11:30V. Cermak2.75118831J. Hradecky1.4061111113WSep 15 · 10:00J. Hradecky1.6111115113J. Svoboda2.20841171WSep 10 · 03:28J. Hradecky1.441112113V. Cermak2.6371060WSep 10 · 02:30J. Hradecky1.40121111113M. Vedmoch2.75145051WSep 10 · 01:30V. Cermak2.6341451162J. Hradecky1.441112117113WSep 10 · 24:00J. Hradecky1.67116811113A. Hlawatschke2.1091111962
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