TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147089
Played Sep 18Finished
Martin Vizek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111161311911116
Jan Svoboda
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:54 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMartin Vizek to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Vizek above · Jan Svoboda below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 97 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Martin Vizek at 55.8%
97 points played in total.
H2H Martin Vizek 0–1 Jan Svoboda Martin Vizek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Svoboda beat Vizek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:54What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vizek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vizek 1664 vs Svoboda 1638
Vizek
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vizek 60% vs Svoboda 80%
Svoboda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vizek 60% vs Svoboda 40%
Vizek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vizek +1 · Svoboda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vizek) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVizek 1.80 / Svoboda 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vizek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147089
Vizek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 44 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Svoboda1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVizek0wins
AwaySvoboda1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSvoboda leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVizekSvobodaV − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.048.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVizekSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 411 vs 19 / 3251.1%59.4%210 / 411 vs 19 / 32Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VizekVizek 1.80/Svoboda 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 18 · 08:00M. Vizek43111011742J. Svoboda48912511113
M. Vizek10
WSep 18 · 11:00M. Sobisek1.53912381M. Vizek2.38111011113WSep 18 · 09:00M. Vizek1.6111118113J. Stolfa2.20751171LSep 18 · 08:00J. Svoboda2.00912511113M. Vizek1.73111011742WSep 18 · 07:00J. Stolfa2.101279101M. Vizek1.67101111123LSep 18 · 06:30M. Vizek2.003490M. Sobisek1.731111113WSep 13 · 03:00M. Sobisek1.50912120M. Vizek2.501114143LSep 13 · 01:30M. Vizek2.205670M. Sobisek1.611111113LSep 13 · 24:30P. Pycha1.8311117113M. Vizek1.83971141WSep 12 · 23:30D. Tuma2.20514131272M. Vizek1.6111121114113WSep 12 · 22:30M. Vizek1.501111119113R. Krejci2.5013721182
J. Svoboda10
LSep 18 · 11:30J. Svoboda2.109990J. Hradecky1.671111113LSep 18 · 09:28J. Svoboda1.919550M. Sobisek1.801111113WSep 18 · 08:00J. Svoboda2.00912511113M. Vizek1.73111011742WSep 18 · 07:30M. Sobisek1.6711145672J. Svoboda2.102121111113WSep 18 · 06:00J. Svoboda1.731111113J. Stolfa2.008770WSep 15 · 12:59J. Stolfa1.8088130J. Svoboda1.911111153LSep 15 · 12:30J. Svoboda1.73611101182V. Cermak2.00119124113LSep 15 · 11:00J. Svoboda1.836117111J. Stolfa1.8311811133LSep 15 · 10:00J. Hradecky1.6111115113J. Svoboda2.20841171LSep 15 · 09:30F. Just2.35117411113J. Svoboda1.5261111772
Upcoming Matches
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J. Svoboda
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