TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13146738
Played Sep 18Finished
Martin Sobisek
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1121412511611711
Jan Svoboda
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:48 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMartin Sobisek to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Sobisek above · Jan Svoboda below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 90 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Martin Sobisek at 55.8%
90 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sobisek 2–1 Jan Svoboda Jan Svoboda has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:48What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sobisek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobisek 1674 vs Svoboda 1655
Sobisek
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobisek 40% vs Svoboda 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobisek 40% vs Svoboda 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobisek +1 · Svoboda +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sobisek) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobisek form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobisek 1.67 / Svoboda 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Svoboda)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13146738
Sobisek1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 106 of 167
Up 2–0, closes it98% 60 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it83% 81 of 98
Svoboda2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSobisek2wins
AwaySvoboda1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSobisek leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobisek2Svoboda1n = 3Sobisek took 2 of 3
S2Sobisek3Svoboda0n = 3Sobisek took 3 of 3
S3Sobisek2Svoboda1n = 3Sobisek took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSobisekSvobodaSobisek − SvobodaBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match39.329.7+9.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobisekSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime562 / 1192 vs 19 / 3147.2%61.3%562 / 1192 vs 19 / 31Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobisekSobisek 1.67/Svoboda 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sobisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 18 · 07:30M. Sobisek4311145672J. Svoboda472121111113
WAug 17 · 13:28M. Sobisek331111113J. Svoboda136430
WAug 17 · 11:30M. Sobisek4291111113J. Svoboda29113691
M. Sobisek10
WSep 18 · 06:30M. Vizek2.003490M. Sobisek1.731111113LSep 16 · 03:00M. Sopko2.0011911143M. Sobisek1.738119121WSep 16 · 02:00M. Sobisek2.50131111113M. Regner1.50158841LSep 16 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.7312811692M. Sopko2.001011211113LSep 16 · 24:00M. Sychra1.5011119113M. Sobisek2.50761151LSep 15 · 22:30M. Chlebecek1.6711119113M. Sobisek2.10951191LSep 13 · 03:00M. Sobisek1.50912120M. Vizek2.501114143LSep 13 · 02:30M. Sobisek1.808111181D. Tuma1.9111613113WSep 13 · 01:30M. Vizek2.205670M. Sobisek1.611111113WSep 13 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.5311119113R. Krejci2.38731181
J. Svoboda10
WSep 18 · 08:00J. Svoboda2.00912511113M. Vizek1.73111011742WSep 18 · 06:00J. Svoboda1.731111113J. Stolfa2.008770WSep 15 · 12:59J. Stolfa1.8088130J. Svoboda1.911111153LSep 15 · 12:30J. Svoboda1.73611101182V. Cermak2.00119124113LSep 15 · 11:00J. Svoboda1.836117111J. Stolfa1.8311811133LSep 15 · 10:00J. Hradecky1.6111115113J. Svoboda2.20841171LSep 15 · 09:30F. Just2.35117411113J. Svoboda1.5261111772LSep 15 · 08:00J. Stolfa2.101111113J. Svoboda1.678680WSep 15 · 07:00V. Cermak2.00121113572J. Svoboda1.731461111113WSep 15 · 06:30J. Svoboda1.611111116113F. Just2.2086131182
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