TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13145490
Played Sep 18Finished
Jakub Hradecky
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191012118311119
Martin Sobisek
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:32 and never touched — 62.7% is still 62.7%
Graded at full timeJakub Hradecky to win
62.7%
62.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Hradecky above · Martin Sobisek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 95 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jakub Hradecky at 62.7%
95 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Hradecky 20–20 Martin Sobisek Dead even across their 40 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:32What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sobisek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-20 in 40
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hradecky 1745 vs Sobisek 1694
Hradecky
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hradecky 100% vs Sobisek 60%
Hradecky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hradecky 90% vs Sobisek 40%
Hradecky
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hradecky +9 · Sobisek +2
Hradecky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hradecky) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hradecky form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHradecky 1.91 / Sobisek 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hradecky)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13145490
Hradecky1.91
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog30% won 18 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back8% 3 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Sobisek1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 106 of 167
Up 2–0, closes it98% 60 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it83% 81 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHradecky5wins
AwaySobisek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHradecky50%3 of 6
AwaySobisek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hradecky6Sobisek4n = 10Hradecky took 6 of 10
S2Hradecky3Sobisek7n = 10Sobisek took 7 of 10
S3Hradecky4Sobisek6n = 10Sobisek took 6 of 10
S4Hradecky4Sobisek4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHradeckySobisekH − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.135.5+1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHradeckySobisekBasisWin rate · lifetime263 / 485 vs 564 / 119454.2%47.2%263 / 485 vs 564 / 1194Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HradeckyHradecky 1.91/Sobisek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hradecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hradecky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky379411131M. Sobisek4311116153
LSep 2 · 24:30J. Hradecky30114961M. Sobisek3851111113
WAug 27 · 03:30J. Hradecky3811115113M. Sobisek32591171
WAug 27 · 24:00J. Hradecky3741111113M. Sobisek27116371
LAug 26 · 20:30J. Hradecky351171071M. Sobisek4391112113
WAug 19 · 09:30J. Hradecky48125811123M. Sobisek491011117102
LAug 19 · 08:30J. Hradecky2781090M. Sobisek341112113
WAug 6 · 20:30J. Hradecky331111113M. Sobisek83230
LAug 4 · 24:00J. Hradecky33124981M. Sobisek43101111113
WAug 3 · 20:30J. Hradecky531191111113M. Sobisek3813114282
J. Hradecky10
WSep 15 · 13:30J. Hradecky1.3512117133V. Cermak2.9510911111WSep 15 · 12:00J. Hradecky1.6711175113J. Stolfa2.107151181WSep 15 · 11:30V. Cermak2.75118831J. Hradecky1.4061111113WSep 15 · 10:00J. Hradecky1.6111115113J. Svoboda2.20841171WSep 10 · 03:28J. Hradecky1.441112113V. Cermak2.6371060WSep 10 · 02:30J. Hradecky1.40121111113M. Vedmoch2.75145051WSep 10 · 01:30V. Cermak2.6341451162J. Hradecky1.441112117113WSep 10 · 24:00J. Hradecky1.67116811113A. Hlawatschke2.1091111962WSep 9 · 23:00D. Kouble2.63861241J. Hradecky1.44111110113LSep 9 · 17:29J. Hradecky1.80121111792J. Stolfa1.91147611113
M. Sobisek10
LSep 18 · 11:00M. Sobisek1.53912381M. Vizek2.38111011113WSep 18 · 09:28J. Svoboda1.919550M. Sobisek1.801111113WSep 18 · 08:30J. Stolfa1.8091161162M. Sobisek1.91113114113LSep 18 · 07:30M. Sobisek1.6711145672J. Svoboda2.102121111113WSep 18 · 06:30M. Vizek2.003490M. Sobisek1.731111113LSep 16 · 03:00M. Sopko2.0011911143M. Sobisek1.738119121WSep 16 · 02:00M. Sobisek2.50131111113M. Regner1.50158841LSep 16 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.7312811692M. Sopko2.001011211113LSep 16 · 24:00M. Sychra1.5011119113M. Sobisek2.50761151LSep 15 · 22:30M. Chlebecek1.6711119113M. Sobisek2.10951191
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