TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147065
Played Sep 18Finished
Jakub Hradecky
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 11Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 11
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
131510121151012––
Martin Vizek
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:54 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Hradecky to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Hradecky above · Martin Vizek below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 88 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Jakub Hradecky at 57.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Hradecky 8–5 Martin Vizek Martin Vizek has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hradecky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Hradecky
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hradecky 1764 vs Vizek 1686
Hradecky
Wrong
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hradecky 100% vs Vizek 80%
Hradecky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hradecky 100% vs Vizek 60%
Hradecky
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hradecky +11 · Vizek +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hradecky) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vizek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHradecky 1.67 / Vizek 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Hradecky)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147065
Hradecky1.67
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 11
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite66% won 92 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it100% 45 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it82% 62 of 76
Vizek2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 32 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back30% 12 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back16% 3 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHradecky6wins
AwayVizek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHradecky leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHradecky100%5 of 5
AwayVizek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hradecky5Vizek5n = 10split evenly
S2Hradecky6Vizek4n = 10Hradecky took 6 of 10
S3Hradecky7Vizek3n = 10Hradecky took 7 of 10
S4Hradecky4Vizek3n = 7Hradecky took 4 of 7
S5Hradecky1Vizek2n = 3Vizek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHradeckyVizekH − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.236.8+3.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHradeckyVizekBasisWin rate · lifetime265 / 484 vs 212 / 41354.8%51.3%265 / 484 vs 212 / 413Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HradeckyHradecky 1.67/Vizek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Hradecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 18 · 02:59J. Hradecky44111210113M. Vizek365101291
WJul 18 · 01:30J. Hradecky54911138133M. Vizek511171111112
LMay 23 · 24:30J. Hradecky389111171M. Vizek4311138113
WDec 29 · 16:00J. Hradecky4111118113M. Vizek26741141
WNov 26 · 11:00J. Hradecky341112113M. Vizek2061040
WNov 17 · 09:00J. Hradecky371115113M. Vizek2761380
LNov 6 · 07:30J. Hradecky217950M. Vizek331111113
LJul 30 · 17:00J. Hradecky44116111152M. Vizek44131181113
LJul 30 · 14:00J. Hradecky4671212872M. Vizek5311101011113
WJun 29 · 03:30J. Hradecky4311911123M. Vizek358116101
J. Hradecky10
WSep 18 · 11:30J. Svoboda2.109990J. Hradecky1.671111113WSep 18 · 10:00J. Hradecky1.911110113113M. Sobisek1.8091281192WSep 15 · 13:30J. Hradecky1.3512117133V. Cermak2.9510911111WSep 15 · 12:00J. Hradecky1.6711175113J. Stolfa2.107151181WSep 15 · 11:30V. Cermak2.75118831J. Hradecky1.4061111113WSep 15 · 10:00J. Hradecky1.6111115113J. Svoboda2.20841171WSep 10 · 03:28J. Hradecky1.441112113V. Cermak2.6371060WSep 10 · 02:30J. Hradecky1.40121111113M. Vedmoch2.75145051WSep 10 · 01:30V. Cermak2.6341451162J. Hradecky1.441112117113WSep 10 · 24:00J. Hradecky1.67116811113A. Hlawatschke2.1091111962
M. Vizek10
WSep 18 · 11:00M. Sobisek1.53912381M. Vizek2.38111011113WSep 18 · 10:30M. Vizek1.80811139113J. Svoboda1.91116111162WSep 18 · 09:00M. Vizek1.6111118113J. Stolfa2.20751171LSep 18 · 08:00J. Svoboda2.00912511113M. Vizek1.73111011742WSep 18 · 07:00J. Stolfa2.101279101M. Vizek1.67101111123LSep 18 · 06:30M. Vizek2.003490M. Sobisek1.731111113WSep 13 · 03:00M. Sobisek1.50912120M. Vizek2.501114143LSep 13 · 01:30M. Vizek2.205670M. Sobisek1.611111113LSep 13 · 24:30P. Pycha1.8311117113M. Vizek1.83971141WSep 12 · 23:30D. Tuma2.20514131272M. Vizek1.6111121114113
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