TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Martin Sobisek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411811511––––
Patrik Pycha
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:07 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timePatrik Pycha to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sobisek above · Patrik Pycha below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 50 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Patrik Pycha at 54.1%
50 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sobisek 20–29 Patrik Pycha Martin Sobisek has won 20 of their 49 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pycha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-29 in 49
Pycha
Correct
gap of 9 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobisek 1638 vs Pycha 1639
Pycha
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobisek 60% vs Pycha 80%
Pycha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobisek 60% vs Pycha 80%
Pycha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobisek +3 · Pycha +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pycha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pycha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobisek 2.00 / Pycha 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pycha)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13160096
Sobisek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 124 of 313
Down 0–1, comes back26% 46 of 178
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 105
Pycha1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 70 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it96% 43 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it80% 53 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobisek3wins
AwayPycha7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPycha leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobisek50%2 of 4
AwayPycha83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobisek4Pycha6n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S2Sobisek4Pycha6n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S3Sobisek4Pycha6n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S4Sobisek1Pycha5n = 6Pycha took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobisekPychaS − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.937.9−5.0per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobisekPychaBasisWin rate · lifetime568 / 1201 vs 501 / 95247.3%52.6%568 / 1201 vs 501 / 952Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PychaSobisek 2.00/Pycha 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Pycha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pycha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 23:00M. Sobisek47111461062P. Pycha559121112113
LAug 14 · 22:30M. Sobisek31119651P. Pycha4291111113
LAug 14 · 01:00M. Sobisek34771191P. Pycha4011117113
WAug 7 · 23:00M. Sobisek47611116133P. Pycha47115911112
LAug 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek35971181P. Pycha4111118113
WJul 24 · 02:58M. Sobisek3711114113P. Pycha28371171
LJul 23 · 22:30M. Sobisek165740P. Pycha331111113
LMay 24 · 02:30M. Sobisek2681260P. Pycha361114113
LMay 10 · 24:30M. Sobisek229760P. Pycha331111113
WMar 29 · 03:58M. Sobisek341211113P. Pycha2410860
M. Sobisek10
WSep 20 · 23:00M. Sobisek1.83146119113D. Tuma1.83121151182WSep 20 · 22:00M. Chlebecek1.671312411112M. Sobisek2.1011101113133WSep 18 · 12:59J. Svoboda1.837119101M. Sobisek1.8311511123LSep 18 · 12:30M. Sobisek1.671176111J. Svoboda2.1051111133LSep 18 · 11:00M. Sobisek1.53912381M. Vizek2.38111011113LSep 18 · 10:00J. Hradecky1.911110113113M. Sobisek1.8091281192WSep 18 · 09:28J. Svoboda1.919550M. Sobisek1.801111113WSep 18 · 08:30J. Stolfa1.8091161162M. Sobisek1.91113114113LSep 18 · 07:30M. Sobisek1.6711145672J. Svoboda2.102121111113WSep 18 · 06:30M. Vizek2.003490M. Sobisek1.731111113
P. Pycha10
WSep 20 · 23:30M. Chlebecek2.208117101P. Pycha1.6111611123WSep 20 · 22:30P. Pycha1.801181110113M. Vizek1.9191151292WSep 19 · 02:59J. Holubec1.7341040P. Pycha2.001112113WSep 19 · 02:00P. Pycha1.57101111113D. Tuma2.25125911LSep 19 · 01:00P. Pycha2.256950J. Hradecky1.571111113LSep 19 · 24:00M. Sychra1.441111113P. Pycha2.636950WSep 18 · 22:30J. Holubec1.6789110P. Pycha2.101111133WSep 15 · 03:30P. Pycha1.601111123D. Tuma2.2055100WSep 15 · 02:30R. Krejci2.38108111262P. Pycha1.531211910113WSep 15 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.83121070P. Pycha1.831412113
Upcoming Matches
M. Sobisek
P. Pycha
Nothing scheduled
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