TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Patrik Pycha
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1198111151012119
Martin Vizek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Vizek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPatrik Pycha above · Martin Vizek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 97 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Martin Vizek at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Pycha 24–20 Martin Vizek Martin Vizek has won 20 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:16What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pycha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-20 in 44
Pycha
Correct
gap of 4 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pycha 1619 vs Vizek 1647
Vizek
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pycha 60% vs Vizek 80%
Vizek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pycha 70% vs Vizek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pycha +2 · Vizek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vizek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vizek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPycha 1.80 / Vizek 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vizek)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159250
Pycha1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 19)
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 70 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it96% 43 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it80% 53 of 66
Vizek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 34 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back29% 12 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePycha7wins
AwayVizek3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPycha leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePycha83.3%5 of 6
AwayVizek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pycha6Vizek4n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S2Pycha5Vizek5n = 10split evenly
S3Pycha6Vizek4n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S4Pycha6Vizek1n = 7Pycha took 6 of 7
S5Pycha2Vizek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPychaVizekP − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.238.7+2.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPychaVizekBasisWin rate · lifetime499 / 950 vs 212 / 41552.5%51.1%499 / 950 vs 212 / 415Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VizekPycha 1.80/Vizek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pycha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 24:30P. Pycha4011117113M. Vizek31971141
WAug 14 · 23:30P. Pycha51961411113M. Vizek51111112892
LAug 13 · 23:30P. Pycha248970M. Vizek331111113
LAug 8 · 24:30P. Pycha4591111592M. Vizek47115911113
WAug 7 · 03:00P. Pycha55159812113M. Vizek531311111082
WAug 6 · 22:00P. Pycha341211113M. Vizek2510690
LAug 1 · 03:30P. Pycha4011581152M. Vizek48611119113
WJul 31 · 23:30P. Pycha4211911113M. Vizek33711691
WJul 17 · 23:30P. Pycha48111115113M. Vizek421371391
WJul 5 · 01:00P. Pycha331111113M. Vizek247980
P. Pycha10
WSep 20 · 23:30M. Chlebecek2.208117101P. Pycha1.6111611123WSep 19 · 02:59J. Holubec1.7341040P. Pycha2.001112113WSep 19 · 02:00P. Pycha1.57101111113D. Tuma2.25125911LSep 19 · 01:00P. Pycha2.256950J. Hradecky1.571111113LSep 19 · 24:00M. Sychra1.441111113P. Pycha2.636950WSep 18 · 22:30J. Holubec1.6789110P. Pycha2.101111133WSep 15 · 03:30P. Pycha1.601111123D. Tuma2.2055100WSep 15 · 02:30R. Krejci2.38108111262P. Pycha1.531211910113WSep 15 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.83121070P. Pycha1.831412113LSep 14 · 23:30P. Pycha1.5761171192D. Tuma2.25119117113
M. Vizek10
WSep 21 · 24:00D. Tuma2.107890M. Vizek1.671111113LSep 18 · 13:29M. Vizek2.1069111192J. Hradecky1.67111187113WSep 18 · 12:00J. Hradecky1.67131011101M. Vizek2.1015125123WSep 18 · 11:00M. Sobisek1.53912381M. Vizek2.38111011113WSep 18 · 10:30M. Vizek1.80811139113J. Svoboda1.91116111162WSep 18 · 09:00M. Vizek1.6111118113J. Stolfa2.20751171LSep 18 · 08:00J. Svoboda2.00912511113M. Vizek1.73111011742WSep 18 · 07:00J. Stolfa2.101279101M. Vizek1.67101111123LSep 18 · 06:30M. Vizek2.003490M. Sobisek1.731111113WSep 13 · 03:00M. Sobisek1.50912120M. Vizek2.501114143
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