TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13153745
Played Sep 18Finished
Jan Svoboda
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111159111012––
Martin Sobisek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJan Svoboda above · Martin Sobisek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 76 set 4, 10-12
76 points played in total.
H2H Jan Svoboda 2–2 Martin Sobisek Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
They have already met 3 times today · last one 1h before this match
Svoboda beat Sobisek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sobisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobisek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.83 / Sobisek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sobisek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13153745
Svoboda1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Sobisek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSvoboda2wins
AwaySobisek2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvobodan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySobisek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda1Sobisek3n = 4Sobisek took 3 of 4
S2Svoboda1Sobisek3n = 4Sobisek took 3 of 4
S3Svoboda2Sobisek2n = 4split evenly
S4Svoboda2Sobisek1n = 3Svoboda took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricSvobodaSobisekSvoboda − SobisekBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match32.238.2−6.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaSobisekBasisWin rate · lifetime20 / 34 vs 563 / 119658.8%47.1%20 / 34 vs 563 / 1196Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobisekSvoboda 1.83/Sobisek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sobisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sobisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 18 · 12:30J. Svoboda4051111133M. Sobisek351176111
WSep 18 · 07:30J. Svoboda472121111113M. Sobisek4311145672
LAug 17 · 13:28J. Svoboda136430M. Sobisek331111113
LAug 17 · 11:30J. Svoboda29113691M. Sobisek4291111113
J. Svoboda10
WSep 18 · 12:30M. Sobisek1.671176111J. Svoboda2.1051111133LSep 18 · 11:30J. Svoboda2.109990J. Hradecky1.671111113LSep 18 · 10:30M. Vizek1.80811139113J. Svoboda1.91116111162LSep 18 · 09:28J. Svoboda1.919550M. Sobisek1.801111113WSep 18 · 08:00J. Svoboda2.00912511113M. Vizek1.73111011742WSep 18 · 07:30M. Sobisek1.6711145672J. Svoboda2.102121111113WSep 18 · 06:00J. Svoboda1.731111113J. Stolfa2.008770WSep 15 · 12:59J. Stolfa1.8088130J. Svoboda1.911111153LSep 15 · 12:30J. Svoboda1.73611101182V. Cermak2.00119124113LSep 15 · 11:00J. Svoboda1.836117111J. Stolfa1.8311811133
M. Sobisek10
LSep 18 · 12:30M. Sobisek1.671176111J. Svoboda2.1051111133LSep 18 · 11:00M. Sobisek1.53912381M. Vizek2.38111011113LSep 18 · 10:00J. Hradecky1.911110113113M. Sobisek1.8091281192WSep 18 · 09:28J. Svoboda1.919550M. Sobisek1.801111113WSep 18 · 08:30J. Stolfa1.8091161162M. Sobisek1.91113114113LSep 18 · 07:30M. Sobisek1.6711145672J. Svoboda2.102121111113WSep 18 · 06:30M. Vizek2.003490M. Sobisek1.731111113LSep 16 · 03:00M. Sopko2.0011911143M. Sobisek1.738119121WSep 16 · 02:00M. Sobisek2.50131111113M. Regner1.50158841LSep 16 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.7312811692M. Sopko2.001011211113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.