TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michal Vedmoch vs Daniel Tuma 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Michal Vedmoch
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012119811411––
Daniel Tuma
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:43 and never touched — 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tuma to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Vedmoch above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 76 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Daniel Tuma at 62.8%
76 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vedmoch 3–9 Daniel Tuma Michal Vedmoch has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:43What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Tuma
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-9 in 12
Tuma
Correct
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vedmoch 1555 vs Tuma 1571
Tuma
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vedmoch 20% vs Tuma 60%
Tuma
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vedmoch 40% vs Tuma 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vedmoch -4 · Tuma -2
Vedmoch
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Tuma) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vedmoch form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVedmoch 2.50 / Tuma 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Tuma)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13164755
Vedmoch2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 108 of 238
Down 0–1, comes back20% 23 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 69
Tuma1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 127 of 207
Up 2–0, closes it93% 64 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it77% 95 of 123
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVedmoch2wins
AwayTuma8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderTuma leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVedmochn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayTuma87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vedmoch2Tuma8n = 10Tuma took 8 of 10
S2Vedmoch4Tuma6n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S3Vedmoch4Tuma6n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S4Vedmoch1Tuma7n = 8Tuma took 7 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVedmochTumaV − TBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.540.7−6.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVedmochTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime699 / 1308 vs 774 / 147753.4%52.4%699 / 1308 vs 774 / 1477Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaVedmoch 2.50/Tuma 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 23:30M. Vedmoch331011841D. Tuma4312911113
WAug 31 · 11:00M. Vedmoch4181111113D. Tuma33117871
LAug 26 · 11:30M. Vedmoch30811921D. Tuma3911611113
LJul 28 · 10:00M. Vedmoch31711581D. Tuma3811511113
LJul 27 · 03:30M. Vedmoch33114991D. Tuma4291111113
WJul 27 · 24:00M. Vedmoch561117116113D. Tuma5091921192
LJun 11 · 21:30M. Vedmoch33851371D. Tuma44111111113
LJun 11 · 20:30M. Vedmoch27511110D. Tuma371113133
LJan 9 · 04:30M. Vedmoch374812131D. Tuma47111110153
LJan 9 · 01:30M. Vedmoch2471070D. Tuma341112113
M. Vedmoch10
LSep 21 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.7311101191P. Zmuda2.0081213113LSep 11 · 02:59M. Sobisek1.361110511133M. Vedmoch3.00512117112LSep 11 · 02:30M. Sobisek1.401311113M. Vedmoch2.7511450LSep 11 · 01:00M. Vizek1.3671112113M. Vedmoch3.001191071WSep 10 · 23:30M. Vedmoch2.2581212113M. Volf1.5711101081LSep 10 · 22:00M. Vedmoch2.7551141352V. Cermak1.401161111113WSep 10 · 17:30M. Kolar2.758590M. Vedmoch1.401111113WSep 10 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.40511712113M. Kolar2.75117111042LSep 10 · 15:30T. Dousa2.0081112113M. Vedmoch1.731171061WSep 10 · 14:00M. Vedmoch1.61121111113M. Sedlak2.20146751
D. Tuma10
WSep 22 · 24:30P. Zmuda1.80711881D. Tuma1.9111711113LSep 21 · 22:30D. Tuma1.73118551R. Krejci2.0061111113LSep 21 · 21:28D. Tuma2.001177101T. Vinter1.7391111123WSep 21 · 20:00D. Tuma1.731111153J. Stolfa2.0098130WSep 21 · 19:30T. Vinter1.8381111111D. Tuma1.8311137133WSep 21 · 18:00D. Tuma2.1011119113T. Janata1.67791191LSep 21 · 02:30D. Tuma2.105770M. Chlebecek1.671111113LSep 21 · 01:30P. Pycha1.571111113D. Tuma2.259690LSep 21 · 24:00D. Tuma2.107890M. Vizek1.671111113LSep 20 · 23:00M. Sobisek1.83146119113D. Tuma1.83121151182
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