TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Daniel Tuma vs Richard Krejci 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Daniel Tuma
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116811511511––
Richard Krejci
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:43 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tuma to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Richard Krejci below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 68 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Daniel Tuma at 55.5%
68 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tuma 18–13 Richard Krejci Richard Krejci has won 13 of their 31 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:43What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Tuma
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-13 in 31
Tuma
Wrong
gap of 5 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1558 vs Krejci 1614
Krejci
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 60% vs Krejci 80%
Krejci
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 40% vs Krejci 60%
Krejci
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma -1 · Krejci +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tuma) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krejci form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 1.73 / Krejci 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tuma)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13164753
Tuma1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 127 of 207
Up 2–0, closes it93% 64 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it77% 95 of 123
Krejci2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 28 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuma5wins
AwayKrejci5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuma66.7%4 of 6
AwayKrejci75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma6Krejci4n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S2Tuma3Krejci7n = 10Krejci took 7 of 10
S3Tuma6Krejci4n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S4Tuma3Krejci2n = 5Tuma took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricTumaKrejciT − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.733.5−0.8per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaKrejciBasisWin rate · lifetime773 / 1477 vs 194 / 36452.3%53.3%773 / 1477 vs 194 / 364Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaTuma 1.73/Krejci 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krejci won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 22:30D. Tuma29118551R. Krejci3961111113
WSep 18 · 02:59D. Tuma4111811113R. Krejci27411931
LSep 18 · 24:00D. Tuma29136100R. Krejci381511123
WSep 15 · 01:30D. Tuma331111113R. Krejci206860
LSep 13 · 01:00D. Tuma144640R. Krejci331111113
WSep 1 · 03:28D. Tuma4111811113R. Krejci37911891
LSep 1 · 24:00D. Tuma186570R. Krejci331111113
LAug 25 · 01:00D. Tuma4511714492R. Krejci549111211113
WJul 29 · 22:00D. Tuma331111113R. Krejci204790
WJul 26 · 23:00D. Tuma44111111113R. Krejci34139841
D. Tuma10
WSep 21 · 23:30M. Vedmoch2.501011841D. Tuma1.5012911113LSep 21 · 21:28D. Tuma2.001177101T. Vinter1.7391111123WSep 21 · 20:00D. Tuma1.731111153J. Stolfa2.0098130WSep 21 · 19:30T. Vinter1.8381111111D. Tuma1.8311137133WSep 21 · 18:00D. Tuma2.1011119113T. Janata1.67791191LSep 21 · 02:30D. Tuma2.105770M. Chlebecek1.671111113LSep 21 · 01:30P. Pycha1.571111113D. Tuma2.259690LSep 21 · 24:00D. Tuma2.107890M. Vizek1.671111113LSep 20 · 23:00M. Sobisek1.83146119113D. Tuma1.83121151182LSep 20 · 17:29D. Tuma1.8389100T. Holik1.831111123
R. Krejci10
WSep 21 · 03:30P. Zmuda1.871181891R. Krejci1.8341120113WSep 21 · 02:30R. Krejci2.251116510113P. Zmuda1.57614111242LSep 21 · 01:30D. Kouble2.251115106113R. Krejci1.57513121192WSep 21 · 24:00R. Krejci1.441111113V. Postelt2.635360WSep 20 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.381115591R. Krejci1.5371711113LSep 18 · 02:59R. Krejci1.83411931D. Tuma1.8311811113WSep 18 · 02:00R. Krejci1.611111113F. Just2.205690LSep 18 · 01:00R. Krejci3.0091111532A. Hlawatschke1.36117811113WSep 18 · 24:00D. Tuma1.61136100R. Krejci2.201511123LSep 17 · 22:30V. Cermak1.671111113R. Krejci2.105240
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