TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Vladimir Postelt
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181177111416511
Petr Zmuda
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Zmuda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Postelt above · Petr Zmuda below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 14-16
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 101 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Petr Zmuda at 54.0%
101 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Postelt 1–0 Petr Zmuda Petr Zmuda has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zmuda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Postelt 1502 vs Zmuda 1609
Zmuda
Correct
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Postelt 40% vs Zmuda 60%
Zmuda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Postelt 60% vs Zmuda 80%
Zmuda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Postelt -2 · Zmuda +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Zmuda) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPostelt 2.00 / Zmuda 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Zmuda)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13160212
Postelt2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 42 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Zmuda1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 53 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it83% 35 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePostelt1wins
AwayZmuda0wins
Postelt leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPosteltZmudaP − ZBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.014.0+19.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPosteltZmudaBasisWin rate · lifetime427 / 807 vs 128 / 24452.9%52.5%427 / 807 vs 128 / 244Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZmudaPostelt 2.00/Zmuda 1.73
Hit
What we said
56.5%
Zmuda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zmuda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 30 · 16:30V. Postelt331111113P. Zmuda145270
V. Postelt10
WSep 21 · 02:00V. Postelt1.7311127123J. Prokupek2.0081011101LSep 21 · 24:00R. Krejci1.441111113V. Postelt2.635360LSep 20 · 22:30D. Kouble1.50611811113V. Postelt2.5011411532WSep 20 · 20:58V. Postelt1.6111711113P. Budinsky2.20911631WSep 20 · 20:00V. Postelt1.8311911113J. Stolfa1.83911581LSep 20 · 19:30R. Pavelka1.911111113V. Postelt1.807570WSep 20 · 18:00V. Postelt1.8071111113P. Budinsky1.91119561WSep 14 · 03:30V. Postelt1.651111113J. Plachy2.071540LSep 14 · 02:30V. Postelt1.3687111182J. Dedek3.00111144113WSep 14 · 01:30P. Fojt2.759680V. Postelt1.401111113
P. Zmuda10
LSep 21 · 02:30R. Krejci2.251116510113P. Zmuda1.57614111242WSep 20 · 23:30P. Zmuda1.831411113D. Kouble1.8312940WSep 20 · 22:00P. Zmuda1.501111113J. Prokupek2.509870LSep 17 · 09:28P. Zmuda2.001181191M. Volf1.7313114113WSep 17 · 08:30M. Volf1.671261071P. Zmuda2.10101112113LSep 17 · 07:30P. Zmuda1.83913111092D. Tuma1.831111812113WSep 17 · 06:30J. Stolfa1.8311711652P. Zmuda1.83611811113WSep 15 · 13:30P. Zmuda1.7311412123M. Vesely2.0061110101WSep 15 · 12:30K. Darin3.0010760P. Zmuda1.361211113WSep 15 · 11:30P. Zmuda1.5311127123J. Bresky2.3881011101
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