TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Vladimir Postelt
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11812107111210––
Jaroslav Prokupek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVladimir Postelt to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Postelt above · Jaroslav Prokupek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 81 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Vladimir Postelt at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Postelt 44–41 Jaroslav Prokupek Jaroslav Prokupek has won 41 of their 85 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Postelt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-41 in 85
Postelt
Correct
gap of 3 in 85, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Postelt 1495 vs Prokupek 1443
Postelt
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Postelt 40% vs Prokupek 0%
Postelt
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Postelt 50% vs Prokupek 20%
Postelt
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Postelt -3 · Prokupek -6
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Postelt)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prokupek form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPostelt 1.73 / Prokupek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Postelt)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13160040
Postelt1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 119 of 190
Up 2–0, closes it97% 57 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it86% 92 of 107
Prokupek2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 93 of 234
Down 0–1, comes back16% 19 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePostelt5wins
AwayProkupek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePosteltn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayProkupek50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Postelt2Prokupek8n = 10Prokupek took 8 of 10
S2Postelt5Prokupek5n = 10split evenly
S3Postelt7Prokupek3n = 10Postelt took 7 of 10
S4Postelt4Prokupek5n = 9Prokupek took 5 of 9
S5Postelt2Prokupek1n = 3Postelt took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPosteltProkupekPostelt − ProkupekBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.839.8−1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPosteltProkupekBasisWin rate · lifetime427 / 808 vs 667 / 140252.9%47.6%427 / 808 vs 667 / 1402Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltPostelt 1.73/Prokupek 2.00
Hit
What we said
54%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 23:00V. Postelt3951111123J. Prokupek351186101
LSep 7 · 22:00V. Postelt36791371J. Prokupek44111111113
WSep 5 · 23:00V. Postelt45114118113J. Prokupek4361171182
WAug 25 · 22:00V. Postelt4071111113J. Prokupek31117761
WAug 19 · 10:00V. Postelt52991111123J. Prokupek45111176102
WJul 17 · 03:30V. Postelt4381112123J. Prokupek3711610101
LJul 16 · 23:00V. Postelt175750J. Prokupek331111113
LJul 6 · 02:58V. Postelt4211119652J. Prokupek51991111113
LJul 6 · 24:30V. Postelt387119111J. Prokupek4311811133
LJun 19 · 10:00V. Postelt36791191J. Prokupek3611113113
V. Postelt10
LSep 21 · 01:00V. Postelt2.00111171452P. Zmuda1.73871116113LSep 21 · 24:00R. Krejci1.441111113V. Postelt2.635360LSep 20 · 22:30D. Kouble1.50611811113V. Postelt2.5011411532WSep 20 · 20:58V. Postelt1.6111711113P. Budinsky2.20911631WSep 20 · 20:00V. Postelt1.8311911113J. Stolfa1.83911581LSep 20 · 19:30R. Pavelka1.911111113V. Postelt1.807570WSep 20 · 18:00V. Postelt1.8071111113P. Budinsky1.91119561WSep 14 · 03:30V. Postelt1.651111113J. Plachy2.071540LSep 14 · 02:30V. Postelt1.3687111182J. Dedek3.00111144113WSep 14 · 01:30P. Fojt2.759680V. Postelt1.401111113
J. Prokupek10
LSep 21 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.251111771D. Kouble1.5731311113LSep 20 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.381115591R. Krejci1.5371711113LSep 20 · 22:00P. Zmuda1.501111113J. Prokupek2.509870LSep 20 · 03:00R. Pavelka1.7391111143J. Prokupek2.001158121LSep 20 · 02:00J. Trefny1.7311411143J. Prokupek2.009117121LSep 20 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.205750D. Kouble1.611111113WSep 19 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.501112113P. Budinsky1.5071060WSep 19 · 22:00R. Pavelka1.611165101J. Prokupek2.2061111123LSep 18 · 21:29R. Pavelka1.73116118113J. Prokupek2.0051121152LSep 18 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91115671J. Dedek1.8071111113
Upcoming Matches
V. Postelt
Nothing scheduled
J. Prokupek
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