TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Lukas Dominik Rek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1178111171311––
Zdenek Dusek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:59 and never touched — 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timeZdenek Dusek to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Dominik Rek above · Zdenek Dusek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 79 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Zdenek Dusek at 61.9%
79 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Dominik Rek 0–5 Zdenek Dusek Lukas Dominik Rek has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:59What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dusek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Dusek
Wrong
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rek 1544 vs Dusek 1337
Rek
Correct
both rated, 207 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rek 100% vs Dusek 20%
Rek
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rek 80% vs Dusek 50%
Rek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rek +5 · Dusek -1
Rek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dusek) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dusek form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRek 2.00 / Dusek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rek)-0.3pp
TT Cup · #13161779
Rek2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog33% won 8 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Dusek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 14 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it75% 6 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it67% 10 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeRek0wins
AwayDusek5wins
2 of 5 to a deciderDusek leads 5–0, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayDusek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rek1Dusek4n = 5Dusek took 4 of 5
S2Rek3Dusek2n = 5Rek took 3 of 5
S3Rek2Dusek3n = 5Dusek took 3 of 5
S4Rek0Dusek4n = 4Dusek took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricRekDusekR − DBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match33.240.0−6.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRekDusekBasisWin rate · lifetime150 / 251 vs 191 / 46659.8%41%150 / 251 vs 191 / 466Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DusekRek 2.00/Dusek 1.73
Miss
What we said
54%
Dusek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJan 2 · 22:25L. Rek4381111942Z. Dusek46115811113
LJan 2 · 21:20L. Rek4311711682Z. Dusek42811111113
LJan 1 · 22:20L. Rek25511541Z. Dusek4011711113
LJan 1 · 21:20L. Rek29611841Z. Dusek3711411113
LDec 27 · 20:55L. Rek2678110Z. Dusek351111133
L. Rek10
WSep 20 · 13:25A. Jr2.638111271L. Rek1.4411714113WSep 20 · 10:55C. Kratochvil2.0061112742L. Rek1.731191011113WSep 18 · 13:55L. Rek1.501211113A. Jr2.4510660WSep 18 · 12:50T. Jr3.0061161132L. Rek1.36115110113WSep 18 · 11:50L. Rek1.5711114113A. Jr2.25681181WSep 18 · 10:20P. Kubat2.0041111462L. Rek1.73118611113LSep 13 · 14:25L. Rek2.255540J. Sebl1.551111113LSep 13 · 13:25D. Zelezny1.731114113L. Rek2.0071280WSep 13 · 12:25L. Rek2.50111189113J. Sebl1.5088111152WSep 13 · 10:55L. Jirka1.7388191152L. Rek2.001111173113
Z. Dusek10
LSep 20 · 12:55C. Kratochvil1.5712119213Z. Dusek2.2510611191LSep 20 · 11:25Z. Dusek1.839550A. Jr1.831111113WSep 13 · 13:25M. Nemec2.109350Z. Dusek1.671111113LSep 13 · 12:50Z. Dusek1.837111091P. Cibik1.8311812113LSep 13 · 11:20M. Nemec2.5091111113Z. Dusek1.50115891LSep 13 · 10:50R. Zeman1.731511123Z. Dusek2.00138100LSep 9 · 17:50Z. Dusek1.83111011662P. Cibik1.83812911113WSep 9 · 16:50Z. Dusek1.8351111113P. Cibik1.83118691WSep 9 · 15:20S. Matousch1.8082131142Z. Dusek1.911111119113WSep 9 · 14:50M. Cesak2.00129781Z. Dusek1.73101111113
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