Michal Nemec vs Zdenek Dusek 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13123083

Played Sep 13Finished

Michal Nemec

Home

2.50

At publish

Lost last 5

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 5

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

911115118119––

Zdenek Dusek

Away

1.50

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:25 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%

Graded at full time

Zdenek Dusek to win

65.3%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingMichal Nemec above · Zdenek Dusek below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 11-5

Set 3 · 11-8

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 75 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Zdenek Dusek at 65.3%

75 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 02:25

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.50 (63%)

Dusek

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Nemec 1285 vs Dusek 1421

Dusek

Wrong

both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Nemec 0% vs Dusek 60%

Dusek

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Nemec 30% vs Dusek 60%

Dusek

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Nemec -5 · Dusek -2

Nemec

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Dusek)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Nemec form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsNemec 2.50 / Dusek 1.50

Signal prob.35% / 65%

Edge (Dusek)+2.8pp

TT Cup · #13123083

Nemec2.50

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog35% won 78 of 223

Down 0–1, comes back15% 21 of 138

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 80

Dusek1.50

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite48% won 13 of 27

Up 2–0, closes it71% 5 of 7

Up 1–0, closes it69% 9 of 13

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricNemecDusekBasisWin rate · lifetime370 / 778 vs 195 / 47147.6%41.4%370 / 778 vs 195 / 471Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Dusek

Nemec 2.50/Dusek 1.50

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

65.3%

Dusek · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Nemec won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Nemec10