TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13161665
Played Sep 19Finished
Jakub Tazler
Home
4.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5116111210118119
Jiri Louda
Away
1.17
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJakub Tazler above · Jiri Louda below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 94 set 5, 11-9
94 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Tazler 2–6 Jiri Louda Jakub Tazler has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Tazler beat Louda 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Louda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Louda form (20%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTazler 4.50 / Louda 1.17
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Louda)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13161665
Tazler4.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 100 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back28% 29 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back16% 9 of 57
Louda1.17
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 185 of 323
Up 2–0, closes it87% 84 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it73% 136 of 187
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeTazler2wins
AwayLouda6wins
4 of 8 to a deciderLouda leads 6–2, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTazler25%1 of 4
AwayLouda75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tazler4Louda4n = 8split evenly
S2Tazler3Louda5n = 8Louda took 5 of 8
S3Tazler3Louda5n = 8Louda took 5 of 8
S4Tazler3Louda4n = 7Louda took 4 of 7
S5Tazler1Louda3n = 4Louda took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricTazlerLoudaT − LBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match41.144.0−2.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTazlerLoudaBasisWin rate · lifetime394 / 724 vs 614 / 120254.4%51.1%394 / 724 vs 614 / 1202Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LoudaTazler 4.50/Louda 1.17
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
80.6%
Louda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tazler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 19 · 20:30J. Tazler4413911113J. Louda331111561
LSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler52811111482J. Louda561191312113
LAug 21 · 24:00J. Tazler47117612112J. Louda494111110133
LAug 16 · 23:30J. Tazler36149581J. Louda45121111113
LJul 11 · 07:00J. Tazler2811890J. Louda351311113
LJun 21 · 21:00J. Tazler25114551J. Louda3741111113
WJun 21 · 20:30J. Tazler52911119123J. Louda45115811102
LMar 5 · 17:30J. Tazler4591112672J. Louda521191011113
J. Tazler10
WSep 19 · 20:30J. Louda1.611111561J. Tazler2.2013911113LSep 19 · 19:30J. Tazler4.00691111112R. Urbaniec1.22111137133LSep 19 · 18:30O. Svacha1.2091111113J. Tazler4.33112571LSep 19 · 09:28J. Tazler2.50111110872M. Wagner1.50591211113WSep 19 · 08:30J. Tazler2.1011913113O. Cmerda1.678111171LSep 19 · 07:00J. Tazler2.381114971M. Wagner1.5371611113WSep 19 · 06:00P. Saleny1.501110101112J. Tazler2.50512126113LSep 18 · 16:59J. Tazler1.67511131192D. Hofman2.10119155113WSep 18 · 16:30D. Hofman2.00471171J. Tazler1.7311119113LSep 18 · 15:30J. Tazler2.2091111282V. Vejvoda1.61115511113
J. Louda10
LSep 19 · 20:30J. Louda1.611111561J. Tazler2.2013911113LSep 19 · 19:00J. Louda3.001011881O. Svacha1.3612911113LSep 19 · 18:00R. Urbaniec1.571111113J. Louda2.254570WSep 17 · 16:58J. Louda1.501111133A. Brazda2.5073110LSep 17 · 16:30J. Louda1.737740M. Pikous2.001111113LSep 17 · 15:00J. Louda2.20127831R. Urbaniec1.61101111113WSep 17 · 14:00A. Brazda2.509870J. Louda1.501111113LSep 14 · 03:30J. Louda2.5571070J. Ruzicka1.431112113LSep 14 · 02:00O. Svacha1.36111163113J. Louda3.0065111182WSep 14 · 24:30J. Louda2.10111115123M. Wagner1.67113911102
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