TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13153764
Played Sep 19Finished
Petr Saleny
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11510121012116111
Jakub Tazler
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:16 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timePetr Saleny to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Saleny above · Jakub Tazler below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 1-11
Point 89 set 5, 1-11 — our read held Petr Saleny at 64.9%
89 points played in total.
H2H Petr Saleny 7–2 Jakub Tazler Jakub Tazler has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:16What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Saleny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Saleny
Wrong
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Saleny 1726 vs Tazler 1635
Saleny
Wrong
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Saleny 100% vs Tazler 20%
Saleny
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Saleny 90% vs Tazler 40%
Saleny
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Saleny +6 · Tazler -1
Saleny
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Saleny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tazler form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSaleny 1.50 / Tazler 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Saleny)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13153764
Saleny1.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite63% won 57 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it83% 43 of 52
Tazler2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog49% won 100 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back28% 29 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back16% 9 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSaleny7wins
AwayTazler2wins
5 of 9 to a deciderSaleny leads 7–2, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSaleny85.7%6 of 7
AwayTazlern = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Saleny7Tazler2n = 9Saleny took 7 of 9
S2Saleny4Tazler5n = 9Tazler took 5 of 9
S3Saleny5Tazler4n = 9Saleny took 5 of 9
S4Saleny3Tazler3n = 6split evenly
S5Saleny4Tazler1n = 5Saleny took 4 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home444%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricSalenyTazlerS − TBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match41.336.8+4.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSalenyTazlerBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 402 vs 392 / 72351.7%54.2%208 / 402 vs 392 / 723Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SalenySaleny 1.50/Tazler 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Saleny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tazler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 19 · 06:00P. Saleny431110101112J. Tazler46512126113
WAug 25 · 11:00P. Saleny50119811113J. Tazler4771111992
WAug 25 · 09:00P. Saleny4111811113J. Tazler32711951
WAug 25 · 07:00P. Saleny331111113J. Tazler227780
LAug 15 · 09:30P. Saleny187560J. Tazler331111113
WAug 15 · 07:30P. Saleny50118119113J. Tazler4451191182
WJul 10 · 13:30P. Saleny531211811113J. Tazler43105111342
WJul 10 · 12:30P. Saleny50811119113J. Tazler4311931192
WJul 10 · 08:00P. Saleny341111123J. Tazler2183100
P. Saleny10
LSep 19 · 08:00P. Saleny2.2514890M. Wagner1.571611113WSep 19 · 07:30O. Cmerda1.83712711P. Saleny1.83111011113WSep 12 · 13:31P. Saleny1.501111113M. Regner2.506110WSep 12 · 12:30S. Kasnik2.6311840P. Saleny1.441311113WSep 12 · 11:30P. Saleny1.6111119123M. Regner2.205611101WSep 12 · 10:30M. Sychra2.504511101P. Saleny1.5011117123WSep 12 · 08:59P. Saleny1.5011611113S. Kasnik2.50511711WSep 12 · 08:00P. Saleny1.5011118113S. Kasnik2.50581121LSep 12 · 07:30M. Sychra2.7551111113P. Saleny1.40119881WSep 12 · 06:00P. Saleny2.10111158113M. Klement1.6745111152
J. Tazler10
LSep 19 · 07:00J. Tazler2.381114971M. Wagner1.5371611113LSep 18 · 16:59J. Tazler1.67511131192D. Hofman2.10119155113WSep 18 · 16:30D. Hofman2.00471171J. Tazler1.7311119113LSep 18 · 15:30J. Tazler2.2091111282V. Vejvoda1.61115511113LSep 18 · 14:30M. Vondrak1.6111117113J. Tazler2.20781161LSep 17 · 09:28R. Wagner1.9111136133J. Tazler1.8031111111WSep 17 · 08:00R. Wagner1.831171071J. Tazler1.8351112113WSep 17 · 07:00M. Regner1.671261261J. Tazler2.10101114113LSep 17 · 06:30J. Tazler1.7391080J. Zuzanek2.001112113LSep 16 · 12:58J. Tazler2.001241041M. Vondrak1.73101112113
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