TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13154182
Played Sep 19Finished
Jiri Louda
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113119511611––
Jakub Tazler
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:45 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeJiri Louda to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Louda above · Jakub Tazler below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 77 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Jiri Louda at 66.9%
77 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Louda 6–1 Jakub Tazler Jakub Tazler has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:45What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Louda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Louda
Wrong
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Louda 1664 vs Tazler 1606
Louda
Wrong
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Louda 20% vs Tazler 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Louda 40% vs Tazler 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Louda -2 · Tazler -3
Tazler
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Louda) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tazler form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLouda 1.61 / Tazler 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Louda)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13154182
Louda1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 185 of 323
Up 2–0, closes it87% 84 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it73% 136 of 187
Tazler2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 100 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back28% 29 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back16% 9 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeLouda6wins
AwayTazler1wins
4 of 7 to a deciderLouda leads 6–1, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLouda75%3 of 4
AwayTazler0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Louda4Tazler3n = 7Louda took 4 of 7
S2Louda4Tazler3n = 7Louda took 4 of 7
S3Louda5Tazler2n = 7Louda took 5 of 7
S4Louda4Tazler2n = 6Louda took 4 of 6
S5Louda3Tazler1n = 4Louda took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricLoudaTazlerL − TBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match45.640.7+4.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLoudaTazlerBasisWin rate · lifetime614 / 1201 vs 393 / 72351.1%54.4%614 / 1201 vs 393 / 723Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LoudaLouda 1.61/Tazler 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Louda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tazler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 6 · 23:00J. Louda561191312113J. Tazler52811111482
WAug 21 · 24:00J. Louda494111110133J. Tazler47117612112
WAug 16 · 23:30J. Louda45121111113J. Tazler36149581
WJul 11 · 07:00J. Louda351311113J. Tazler2811890
WJun 21 · 21:00J. Louda3741111113J. Tazler25114551
LJun 21 · 20:30J. Louda45115811102J. Tazler52911119123
WMar 5 · 17:30J. Louda521191011113J. Tazler4591112672
J. Louda10
LSep 19 · 21:13J. Tazler4.50561211113J. Louda1.17111110892LSep 19 · 19:00J. Louda3.001011881O. Svacha1.3612911113LSep 19 · 18:00R. Urbaniec1.571111113J. Louda2.254570WSep 17 · 16:58J. Louda1.501111133A. Brazda2.5073110LSep 17 · 16:30J. Louda1.737740M. Pikous2.001111113LSep 17 · 15:00J. Louda2.20127831R. Urbaniec1.61101111113WSep 17 · 14:00A. Brazda2.509870J. Louda1.501111113LSep 14 · 03:30J. Louda2.5571070J. Ruzicka1.431112113LSep 14 · 02:00O. Svacha1.36111163113J. Louda3.0065111182WSep 14 · 24:30J. Louda2.10111115123M. Wagner1.67113911102
J. Tazler10
WSep 19 · 21:13J. Tazler4.50561211113J. Louda1.17111110892LSep 19 · 19:30J. Tazler4.00691111112R. Urbaniec1.22111137133LSep 19 · 18:30O. Svacha1.2091111113J. Tazler4.33112571LSep 19 · 09:28J. Tazler2.50111110872M. Wagner1.50591211113WSep 19 · 08:30J. Tazler2.1011913113O. Cmerda1.678111171LSep 19 · 07:00J. Tazler2.381114971M. Wagner1.5371611113WSep 19 · 06:00P. Saleny1.501110101112J. Tazler2.50512126113LSep 18 · 16:59J. Tazler1.67511131192D. Hofman2.10119155113WSep 18 · 16:30D. Hofman2.00471171J. Tazler1.7311119113LSep 18 · 15:30J. Tazler2.2091111282V. Vejvoda1.61115511113
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