TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13153969
Played Sep 19Finished
Jiri Louda
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012119811811––
Ondrej Svacha
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:03 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeOndrej Svacha to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Louda above · Ondrej Svacha below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 80 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Ondrej Svacha at 66.7%
80 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Louda 2–18 Ondrej Svacha Jiri Louda has won 2 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Svacha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-18 in 20
Svacha
Correct
gap of 16 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Louda 1675 vs Svacha 1706
Svacha
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Louda 40% vs Svacha 60%
Svacha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Louda 50% vs Svacha 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Louda -1 · Svacha +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Svacha) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svacha form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLouda 3.00 / Svacha 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Svacha)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13153969
Louda3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 54 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 43
Svacha1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 92 of 158
Up 2–0, closes it97% 55 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it77% 73 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLouda0wins
AwaySvacha10wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSvacha leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLoudan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySvacha100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Louda2Svacha8n = 10Svacha took 8 of 10
S2Louda2Svacha8n = 10Svacha took 8 of 10
S3Louda2Svacha8n = 10Svacha took 8 of 10
S4Louda2Svacha3n = 5Svacha took 3 of 5
S5Louda0Svacha3n = 3Svacha took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricLoudaSvachaL − SBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match27.039.4−12.4per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLoudaSvachaBasisWin rate · lifetime614 / 1200 vs 392 / 77651.2%50.5%614 / 1200 vs 392 / 776Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvachaLouda 3.00/Svacha 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Svacha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Svacha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 02:00J. Louda4165111182O. Svacha42111163113
LMay 24 · 08:59J. Louda27611461O. Svacha4111811113
LMay 24 · 07:30J. Louda197570O. Svacha331111113
LMay 14 · 22:00J. Louda209830O. Svacha331111113
LMay 9 · 22:00J. Louda3712115452O. Svacha521091111113
LMay 9 · 07:30J. Louda241111111O. Svacha4411139113
LApr 26 · 03:30J. Louda145720O. Svacha331111113
LApr 25 · 23:30J. Louda4613681182O. Svacha501111116113
LApr 19 · 10:00J. Louda229670O. Svacha331111113
LApr 12 · 07:00J. Louda209830O. Svacha331111113
J. Louda10
LSep 19 · 18:00R. Urbaniec1.571111113J. Louda2.254570WSep 17 · 16:58J. Louda1.501111133A. Brazda2.5073110LSep 17 · 16:30J. Louda1.737740M. Pikous2.001111113LSep 17 · 15:00J. Louda2.20127831R. Urbaniec1.61101111113WSep 17 · 14:00A. Brazda2.509870J. Louda1.501111113LSep 14 · 03:30J. Louda2.5571070J. Ruzicka1.431112113LSep 14 · 02:00O. Svacha1.36111163113J. Louda3.0065111182WSep 14 · 24:30J. Louda2.10111115123M. Wagner1.67113911102WSep 13 · 23:00J. Louda2.6311711113J. Ruzicka1.44711991WSep 13 · 22:00R. Urbaniec1.5389111182J. Louda2.38111184113
O. Svacha10
LSep 19 · 20:00R. Urbaniec1.73711511113O. Svacha2.0011911632WSep 19 · 18:30O. Svacha1.2091111113J. Tazler4.33112571WSep 19 · 03:30J. Ruzicka2.006880O. Svacha1.731111113LSep 19 · 02:30J. Ruzicka2.00149119133O. Svacha1.731211211112LSep 19 · 01:00R. Urbaniec1.67129611113O. Svacha2.10101111682WSep 18 · 23:30O. Svacha2.10111011113M. Hampl1.67912291WSep 18 · 22:00O. Svacha1.33101111113R. Rose3.25129391WSep 18 · 17:00O. Cmerda2.0011118572O. Svacha1.73861111113LSep 18 · 16:00O. Svacha2.758116121V. Nohejl1.4011411143WSep 14 · 02:00O. Svacha1.36111163113J. Louda3.0065111182
Upcoming Matches
J. Louda
O. Svacha
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