TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13154936
Played Sep 18Finished
Ondrej Cmerda
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118116811511711
Ondrej Svacha
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingOndrej Cmerda above · Ondrej Svacha below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 89 set 5, 7-11
89 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Cmerda 14–22 Ondrej Svacha Ondrej Cmerda has won 14 of their 36 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Cmerda beat Svacha 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svacha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svacha form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCmerda 2.00 / Svacha 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Svacha)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13154936
Cmerda2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog26% won 6 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back7% 1 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Svacha1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 89 of 154
Up 2–0, closes it96% 54 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it77% 72 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCmerda5wins
AwaySvacha5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCmerda50%3 of 6
AwaySvacha50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cmerda6Svacha4n = 10Cmerda took 6 of 10
S2Cmerda3Svacha7n = 10Svacha took 7 of 10
S3Cmerda5Svacha5n = 10split evenly
S4Cmerda6Svacha3n = 9Cmerda took 6 of 9
S5Cmerda2Svacha3n = 5Svacha took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCmerdaSvachaC − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.339.4+0.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCmerdaSvachaBasisWin rate · lifetime187 / 357 vs 388 / 77352.4%50.2%187 / 357 vs 388 / 773Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvachaCmerda 2.00/Svacha 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Svacha · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Svacha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 15:30O. Cmerda511081111113O. Svacha3912116552
LJun 9 · 22:30O. Cmerda33119761O. Svacha4181111113
WMay 7 · 02:30O. Cmerda45111210123O. Svacha3861012101
LApr 14 · 20:00O. Cmerda3911115662O. Svacha47681111113
LApr 8 · 23:30O. Cmerda4111511682O. Svacha43311711113
LMar 29 · 13:30O. Cmerda2671090O. Svacha341112113
WMar 29 · 11:30O. Cmerda3711114113O. Svacha30561181
WMar 24 · 20:30O. Cmerda50981111113O. Svacha4111115862
LMar 3 · 20:30O. Cmerda46951111102O. Svacha50111179123
WMar 1 · 20:30O. Cmerda3511211113O. Svacha31911561
O. Cmerda10
LSep 18 · 16:30R. Urbaniec1.831311113O. Cmerda1.8311560WSep 18 · 15:30O. Cmerda1.831081111113O. Svacha1.8312116552LSep 18 · 14:30V. Nohejl2.751391211113O. Cmerda1.40151110582LJun 10 · 02:00O. Cmerda2.00581141T. Franek1.7311114113WJun 10 · 01:00O. Cmerda1.671111113R. Urbaniec2.107850LJun 10 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.6712914113O. Cmerda2.1010111261LJun 9 · 22:30O. Svacha2.0081111113O. Cmerda1.73119761LMay 26 · 21:30O. Cmerda1.5091651162R. Urbaniec2.401114119113WMay 26 · 20:00M. Huk2.1011911882O. Cmerda1.67411511113WMay 26 · 19:00V. Nohejl2.001081131O. Cmerda1.7312118113
O. Svacha10
LSep 18 · 16:00O. Svacha2.758116121V. Nohejl1.4011411143LSep 18 · 15:30O. Cmerda1.831081111113O. Svacha1.8312116552LSep 18 · 14:00O. Svacha2.50951161R. Urbaniec1.5011116113WSep 14 · 02:00O. Svacha1.36111163113J. Louda3.0065111182LSep 14 · 01:00O. Svacha1.83116971R. Urbaniec1.8361111113LSep 14 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.80111110113O. Svacha1.91931261LSep 13 · 22:30M. Wagner1.8081111113O. Svacha1.91116861WSep 12 · 21:30J. Ruzicka1.7312680O. Svacha2.001411113WSep 12 · 20:30O. Svacha1.839111110143R. Urbaniec1.83117712122WJun 9 · 22:30O. Svacha2.0081111113O. Cmerda1.73119761
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