TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12008162
Played Jun 10Finished
Ondrej Cmerda
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118115––––
Radim Urbaniec
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingOndrej Cmerda above · Radim Urbaniec below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 53 set 3, 11-5
53 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Cmerda 15–7 Radim Urbaniec Radim Urbaniec has won 7 of their 22 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Cmerda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urbaniec form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCmerda 1.67 / Urbaniec 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Cmerda)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12008162
Cmerda1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 57 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it89% 41 of 46
Urbaniec2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog40% won 151 of 374
Down 0–1, comes back20% 40 of 202
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCmerda6wins
AwayUrbaniec4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderCmerda leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCmerda100%3 of 3
AwayUrbaniec57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cmerda3Urbaniec7n = 10Urbaniec took 7 of 10
S2Cmerda5Urbaniec5n = 10split evenly
S3Cmerda5Urbaniec5n = 10split evenly
S4Cmerda5Urbaniec2n = 7Cmerda took 5 of 7
S5Cmerda3Urbaniec1n = 4Cmerda took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricCmerdaUrbaniecC − UBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.539.3+0.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCmerdaUrbaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime305 / 589 vs 659 / 127351.8%51.8%305 / 589 vs 659 / 1273Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CmerdaCmerda 1.67/Urbaniec 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.8%
Cmerda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cmerda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 26 · 21:30O. Cmerda4791651162R. Urbaniec561114119113
WMay 26 · 18:30O. Cmerda47711711113R. Urbaniec4611911962
WMay 26 · 16:00O. Cmerda45111211113R. Urbaniec33514861
LMay 11 · 18:30O. Cmerda27105120R. Urbaniec371211143
WMay 7 · 03:00O. Cmerda531561110113R. Urbaniec47131181232
WMay 7 · 01:30O. Cmerda4291111113R. Urbaniec30116491
LApr 14 · 18:00O. Cmerda179440R. Urbaniec331111113
WApr 9 · 03:28O. Cmerda331111113R. Urbaniec249960
WApr 8 · 22:30O. Cmerda49811811113R. Urbaniec4511611982
LMar 22 · 21:00O. Cmerda35881181R. Urbaniec4211119113
O. Cmerda10
LJun 10 · 02:00O. Cmerda2.00581141T. Franek1.7311114113LJun 10 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.6712914113O. Cmerda2.1010111261LJun 9 · 22:30O. Svacha2.0081111113O. Cmerda1.73119761LMay 26 · 21:30O. Cmerda1.5091651162R. Urbaniec2.401114119113WMay 26 · 20:00M. Huk2.1011911882O. Cmerda1.67411511113WMay 26 · 19:00V. Nohejl2.001081131O. Cmerda1.7312118113WMay 26 · 18:30O. Cmerda1.73711711113R. Urbaniec2.0011911962LMay 26 · 17:30O. Cmerda2.25711791J. Ruzicka1.5711811113WMay 26 · 16:00R. Urbaniec2.00514861O. Cmerda1.73111211113WMay 26 · 15:00A. Barton1.80118120O. Cmerda1.911311143
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 17 · 12:00R. Urbaniec1.361111113M. Sychra3.008140WSep 17 · 11:30J. Zuzanek2.63119641R. Urbaniec1.4491111113LSep 17 · 10:00R. Urbaniec1.57311741R. Wagner2.2511811113LSep 16 · 17:30M. Jezek1.501111113R. Urbaniec2.405660LSep 16 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.6311841272M. Jezek1.449111110113WSep 16 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.20711127113V. Nohejl1.61119101192WSep 16 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.6151181182R. Urbaniec2.20119118113WMay 26 · 21:30O. Cmerda1.5091651162R. Urbaniec2.401114119113LMay 26 · 18:30O. Cmerda1.73711711113R. Urbaniec2.0011911962LMay 26 · 16:00R. Urbaniec2.00514861O. Cmerda1.73111211113
Upcoming Matches
O. Cmerda
R. Urbaniec
Sep 17 · 14:30R. Urbaniec2.75M. Pikous1.40—Sep 17 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.61J. Louda2.20—Sep 17 · 16:00R. Urbaniec1.50A. Brazda2.50—Sep 18 · 14:00R. Urbaniec1.80O. Svacha1.90—Sep 18 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.10V. Nohejl1.65—Sep 18 · 16:30R. Urbaniec—O. Cmerda——Sep 18 · 22:30R. Urbaniec2.20M. Hampl1.60—Sep 19 · 24:00R. Urbaniec2.60J. Ruzicka1.43—Sep 19 · 01:00R. Urbaniec1.80O. Svacha1.90—Sep 19 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.45R. Rose1.48—
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