TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11948117
Played May 26Finished
Ondrej Cmerda
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711118711911––
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingOndrej Cmerda above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11
75 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Cmerda 2–9 Jiri Ruzicka Ondrej Cmerda has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Ruzicka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCmerda 2.25 / Ruzicka 1.57
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Cmerda)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11948117
Cmerda2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 27 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back25% 9 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Ruzicka1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 146 of 262
Up 2–0, closes it90% 71 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it69% 102 of 148
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCmerda2wins
AwayRuzicka8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderRuzicka leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCmerda33.3%1 of 3
AwayRuzicka85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cmerda3Ruzicka7n = 10Ruzicka took 7 of 10
S2Cmerda6Ruzicka4n = 10Cmerda took 6 of 10
S3Cmerda4Ruzicka6n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10
S4Cmerda1Ruzicka8n = 9Ruzicka took 8 of 9
S5Cmerda2Ruzicka3n = 5Ruzicka took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCmerdaRuzickaC − RBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.444.2−4.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCmerdaRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime300 / 582 vs 816 / 164751.6%49.5%300 / 582 vs 816 / 1647Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaCmerda 2.25/Ruzicka 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.9%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 3 · 18:30O. Cmerda—3J. Ruzicka—2
WJan 22 · 01:30O. Cmerda—3J. Ruzicka—2
LJan 21 · 16:00O. Cmerda—2J. Ruzicka—3
LJan 15 · 02:30O. Cmerda—1J. Ruzicka—3
LNov 11 · 19:30O. Cmerda—1J. Ruzicka—3
LNov 5 · 22:30O. Cmerda—2J. Ruzicka—3
LNov 5 · 21:00O. Cmerda—0J. Ruzicka—3
LJul 22 · 17:30O. Cmerda—2J. Ruzicka—3
LJul 22 · 16:00O. Cmerda—1J. Ruzicka—3
LApr 7 · 14:30O. Cmerda—1J. Ruzicka—3
O. Cmerda10
LJun 10 · 02:00O. Cmerda2.00581141T. Franek1.7311114113WJun 10 · 01:00O. Cmerda1.671111113R. Urbaniec2.107850LJun 10 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.6712914113O. Cmerda2.1010111261LJun 9 · 22:30O. Svacha2.0081111113O. Cmerda1.73119761LMay 26 · 21:30O. Cmerda1.5091651162R. Urbaniec2.401114119113WMay 26 · 20:00M. Huk2.1011911882O. Cmerda1.67411511113WMay 26 · 19:00V. Nohejl2.001081131O. Cmerda1.7312118113WMay 26 · 18:30O. Cmerda1.73711711113R. Urbaniec2.0011911962WMay 26 · 16:00R. Urbaniec2.00514861O. Cmerda1.73111211113WMay 26 · 15:00A. Barton1.80118120O. Cmerda1.911311143
J. Ruzicka10
LSep 17 · 03:30M. Huk1.6511116113J. Ruzicka2.10881191WSep 17 · 02:00J. Ruzicka2.20114311113M. Zahradka1.6181111582LSep 17 · 01:00J. Ruzicka2.1011520T. Postelt1.671311113WSep 17 · 24:00E. Mares1.501213101192J. Ruzicka2.501015129113WSep 16 · 22:30M. Huk1.73571141J. Ruzicka2.0011118113LSep 16 · 21:28J. Ruzicka2.383870M. Zahradka1.531111113WSep 16 · 20:30M. Huk1.915111011112J. Ruzicka1.80118129133WSep 16 · 19:30J. Ruzicka1.8041111113P. Bradach1.91116571WSep 16 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.6113511862J. Ruzicka2.201111811113WJun 10 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.6712914113O. Cmerda2.1010111261
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