TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135661
Played Sep 17Finished
Jiri Ruzicka
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113511211––––
Tomas Postelt
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Postelt to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Ruzicka above · Tomas Postelt below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 53 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Tomas Postelt at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Ruzicka 14–12 Tomas Postelt Tomas Postelt has won 12 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:06What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Postelt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-12 in 26
Ruzicka
Wrong
gap of 2 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1819 vs Postelt 1838
Postelt
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 80% vs Postelt 40%
Ruzicka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 70% vs Postelt 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka +2 · Postelt -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Postelt) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 2.10 / Postelt 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Postelt)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135661
Ruzicka2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 134 of 343
Down 0–1, comes back20% 42 of 213
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 113
Postelt1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite47% won 49 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it65% 33 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka8wins
AwayPostelt2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderRuzicka leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka80%4 of 5
AwayPostelt20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka5Postelt5n = 10split evenly
S2Ruzicka7Postelt3n = 10Ruzicka took 7 of 10
S3Ruzicka6Postelt4n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10
S4Ruzicka4Postelt5n = 9Postelt took 5 of 9
S5Ruzicka5Postelt1n = 6Ruzicka took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaPosteltR − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match45.144.3+0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime686 / 1415 vs 338 / 72248.5%46.8%686 / 1415 vs 338 / 722Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltRuzicka 2.10/Postelt 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 17 · 13:30J. Ruzicka51118138113T. Postelt49811111182
LJun 17 · 12:00J. Ruzicka361166131T. Postelt4581111153
WApr 1 · 03:30J. Ruzicka331111113T. Postelt259880
WApr 1 · 24:00J. Ruzicka4011115133T. Postelt346611111
WMar 30 · 01:00J. Ruzicka50811119113T. Postelt4811891192
LMar 5 · 13:30J. Ruzicka4041171262T. Postelt491161110113
WMar 3 · 12:30J. Ruzicka4511149113T. Postelt408121191
WFeb 19 · 07:30J. Ruzicka45811113123T. Postelt48118811102
WFeb 18 · 01:00J. Ruzicka538111112113T. Postelt49111371082
WFeb 12 · 15:30J. Ruzicka58611168173T. Postelt561151411152
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 17 · 24:00E. Mares1.501213101192J. Ruzicka2.501015129113WSep 16 · 22:30M. Huk1.73571141J. Ruzicka2.0011118113WSep 16 · 20:30M. Huk1.915111011112J. Ruzicka1.80118129133WSep 16 · 19:30J. Ruzicka1.8041111113P. Bradach1.91116571WSep 16 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.6113511862J. Ruzicka2.201111811113WSep 15 · 12:59J. Ruzicka1.4481111113R. Urbaniec2.63116751WSep 15 · 12:30J. Ruzicka1.5011117113R. Urbaniec2.50461161LSep 15 · 11:00J. Ruzicka1.611191191O. Kolisnyk2.2051113113LSep 15 · 10:00V. Svechota1.7312911113J. Ruzicka2.001011871LSep 15 · 09:28J. Ruzicka2.207131114102V. Svechota1.611115812123
T. Postelt10
LSep 16 · 23:30T. Postelt1.73911514102M. Huk2.001171112123LSep 16 · 22:00T. Postelt1.9111511762M. Zahradka1.80811711113WSep 13 · 21:30E. Mares1.80115431T. Postelt1.9011111113WSep 13 · 20:30T. Postelt1.91791711113M. Zahradka1.80111115872LSep 13 · 19:00T. Postelt2.5031111782T. Kos1.50119911113WSep 13 · 18:00E. Mares1.911111812132T. Postelt1.80641114153WSep 8 · 17:30M. Zahradka1.83101181152T. Postelt1.83129114113LSep 8 · 16:30M. Zahradka1.831116113T. Postelt1.8361450WSep 8 · 15:30T. Postelt2.3811414113L. Jindrak1.536111281WSep 8 · 14:30V. Koubek1.61911129112T. Postelt2.201161011133
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