TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135625
Played Sep 16Finished
Martin Huk
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511711118411––
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Huk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Huk above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 68 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Martin Huk at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Martin Huk 164–102 Jiri Ruzicka Jiri Ruzicka has won 102 of their 266 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Ruzicka beat Huk 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickContradict
Sealed 14:57What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Huk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
164-102 in 266
Huk
Wrong
gap of 62 in 266, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Huk 1743 vs Ruzicka 1785
Ruzicka
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Huk 20% vs Ruzicka 80%
Ruzicka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Huk 30% vs Ruzicka 60%
Ruzicka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Huk +1 · Ruzicka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Huk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHuk 1.73 / Ruzicka 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Huk)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135625
Huk1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 145 of 268
Up 2–0, closes it96% 64 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it75% 108 of 144
Ruzicka2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 134 of 343
Down 0–1, comes back20% 42 of 213
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHuk6wins
AwayRuzicka4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHuk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHuk100%5 of 5
AwayRuzicka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Huk5Ruzicka5n = 10split evenly
S2Huk4Ruzicka6n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10
S3Huk7Ruzicka3n = 10Huk took 7 of 10
S4Huk5Ruzicka5n = 10split evenly
S5Huk2Ruzicka1n = 3Huk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHukRuzickaH − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.341.3+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHukRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime794 / 1624 vs 684 / 141348.9%48.4%794 / 1624 vs 684 / 1413Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HukHuk 1.73/Ruzicka 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Huk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk4312119113J. Ruzicka371071191
WSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk501171011113J. Ruzicka4361112772
WSep 2 · 20:30M. Huk47118116113J. Ruzicka3831181152
WAug 28 · 02:30M. Huk4291111113J. Ruzicka37118991
LAug 25 · 06:30M. Huk32581181J. Ruzicka4011117113
LAug 24 · 21:30M. Huk379117101J. Ruzicka4311911123
LAug 24 · 18:30M. Huk571113141182J. Ruzicka6013111213113
WAug 24 · 15:30M. Huk4311811133J. Ruzicka399118111
WAug 20 · 01:00M. Huk4011711113J. Ruzicka35811971
LAug 19 · 03:00M. Huk323611121J. Ruzicka4111115143
M. Huk10
WSep 16 · 23:30T. Postelt1.73911514102M. Huk2.001171112123WSep 16 · 21:03P. Bradach2.639131091M. Huk1.44111112113LSep 16 · 20:30M. Huk1.915111011112J. Ruzicka1.80118129133LSep 16 · 19:00M. Huk2.1081050M. Zahradka1.671112113LSep 16 · 18:00P. Bradach1.7311146133M. Huk2.0071211111LSep 13 · 09:00A. Barton1.671111133M. Huk2.1075110WSep 13 · 08:00M. Huk2.50116811133E. Mares1.50511119112LSep 13 · 07:30L. Zeman1.5711911113M. Huk2.25511741LSep 13 · 06:00M. Huk2.209260A. Barton1.611111113LSep 12 · 08:59M. Huk2.5011791172L. Jindrak1.50811118113
J. Ruzicka10
LSep 16 · 21:28J. Ruzicka2.383870M. Zahradka1.531111113WSep 16 · 20:30M. Huk1.915111011112J. Ruzicka1.80118129133WSep 16 · 19:30J. Ruzicka1.8041111113P. Bradach1.91116571WSep 16 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.6113511862J. Ruzicka2.201111811113WSep 15 · 12:59J. Ruzicka1.4481111113R. Urbaniec2.63116751WSep 15 · 12:30J. Ruzicka1.5011117113R. Urbaniec2.50461161LSep 15 · 11:00J. Ruzicka1.611191191O. Kolisnyk2.2051113113LSep 15 · 10:00V. Svechota1.7312911113J. Ruzicka2.001011871LSep 15 · 09:28J. Ruzicka2.207131114102V. Svechota1.611115812123WSep 15 · 08:30R. Urbaniec2.25510110J. Ruzicka1.571112133
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