TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135981
Played Sep 16Finished
Martin Huk
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111012511––––
Michal Zahradka
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:56 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeMichal Zahradka to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Huk above · Michal Zahradka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 57 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Michal Zahradka at 56.2%
57 points played in total.
H2H Martin Huk 54–75 Michal Zahradka Martin Huk has won 54 of their 129 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:56What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zahradka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
54-75 in 129
Zahradka
Correct
gap of 21 in 129, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Huk 1758 vs Zahradka 1778
Zahradka
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Huk 20% vs Zahradka 40%
Zahradka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Huk 30% vs Zahradka 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Huk -2 · Zahradka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Zahradka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zahradka form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHuk 2.10 / Zahradka 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Zahradka)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135981
Huk2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 115 of 275
Down 0–1, comes back25% 38 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 75
Zahradka1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 79 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it83% 35 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it75% 55 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHuk4wins
AwayZahradka6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZahradka leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHuk60%3 of 5
AwayZahradka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Huk5Zahradka5n = 10split evenly
S2Huk2Zahradka8n = 10Zahradka took 8 of 10
S3Huk5Zahradka5n = 10split evenly
S4Huk3Zahradka5n = 8Zahradka took 5 of 8
S5Huk2Zahradka1n = 3Huk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHukZahradkaH − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.540.5−3.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHukZahradkaBasisWin rate · lifetime793 / 1621 vs 429 / 89748.9%47.8%793 / 1621 vs 429 / 897Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZahradkaHuk 2.10/Zahradka 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Zahradka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 13:29M. Huk46121112113M. Zahradka4110131081
LSep 3 · 11:00M. Huk29711561M. Zahradka4211911113
LSep 3 · 09:28M. Huk175750M. Zahradka331111113
LSep 3 · 08:00M. Huk47118711102M. Zahradka43511114123
WAug 24 · 16:00M. Huk4281111123M. Zahradka371188101
LAug 14 · 13:30M. Huk31661181M. Zahradka3711114113
LAug 14 · 11:30M. Huk33115981M. Zahradka4181111113
LAug 10 · 01:30M. Huk2899100M. Zahradka341111123
WAug 6 · 24:00M. Huk53118119143M. Zahradka48711711122
WAug 5 · 17:28M. Huk491111115113M. Zahradka4991371192
M. Huk10
LSep 16 · 18:00P. Bradach1.7311146133M. Huk2.0071211111LSep 13 · 09:00A. Barton1.671111133M. Huk2.1075110WSep 13 · 08:00M. Huk2.50116811133E. Mares1.50511119112LSep 13 · 07:30L. Zeman1.5711911113M. Huk2.25511741LSep 13 · 06:00M. Huk2.209260A. Barton1.611111113LSep 12 · 08:59M. Huk2.5011791172L. Jindrak1.50811118113WSep 12 · 08:30M. Huk3.25136711113T. Kos1.33111111962LSep 12 · 07:00M. Huk2.5081213962L. Jindrak1.5011101111113LSep 12 · 06:00E. Mares1.501111113M. Huk2.502960WSep 3 · 13:29M. Zahradka1.6110131081M. Huk2.20121112113
M. Zahradka10
WSep 16 · 20:00P. Bradach2.10981181M. Zahradka1.6711119113LSep 16 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.6113511862J. Ruzicka2.201111811113LSep 15 · 21:30E. Mares1.281121013113M. Zahradka3.20811121162WSep 15 · 20:30M. Zahradka2.2011114113Z. Bilek1.61681141WSep 15 · 19:00M. Zahradka2.501111113V. Koubek1.507560LSep 15 · 18:00E. Mares1.2811911123M. Zahradka3.505116101LSep 13 · 20:59T. Kos1.308111011113M. Zahradka3.4011712882LSep 13 · 20:30T. Postelt1.91791711113M. Zahradka1.80111115872LSep 13 · 19:30M. Zahradka3.7512611131E. Mares1.2514119153LSep 3 · 13:29M. Zahradka1.6110131081M. Huk2.20121112113
Upcoming Matches
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Sep 16 · 20:30M. Huk1.91J. Ruzicka1.80—Sep 16 · 22:30M. Huk1.91J. Ruzicka1.80—Sep 16 · 23:30M. Huk2.00T. Postelt1.73—Sep 17 · 24:30M. Huk2.10M. Zahradka1.67—Sep 17 · 01:30M. Huk2.50E. Mares1.50—Sep 17 · 14:00M. Huk1.83O. Kolisnyk1.83—Sep 17 · 15:30M. Huk1.44J. Simecek2.63—Sep 17 · 16:00M. Huk2.00J. Kanera1.73—
M. Zahradka
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