TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120593
Played Sep 13Finished
Tomas Postelt
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7119111715118117
Michal Zahradka
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Zahradka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Postelt above · Michal Zahradka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 17-15
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 107 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Michal Zahradka at 54.0%
107 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Postelt 21–27 Michal Zahradka Tomas Postelt has won 21 of their 48 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:33What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zahradka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-27 in 48
Zahradka
Wrong
gap of 6 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Postelt 1833 vs Zahradka 1806
Postelt
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Postelt 60% vs Zahradka 20%
Postelt
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Postelt 60% vs Zahradka 40%
Postelt
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Postelt -1 · Zahradka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zahradka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zahradka form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPostelt 1.91 / Zahradka 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zahradka)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120593
Postelt1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 59 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back30% 25 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 41
Zahradka1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 82 of 152
Up 2–0, closes it86% 36 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it76% 58 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePostelt4wins
AwayZahradka6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZahradka leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePostelt50%2 of 4
AwayZahradka66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Postelt4Zahradka6n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S2Postelt5Zahradka5n = 10split evenly
S3Postelt2Zahradka8n = 10Zahradka took 8 of 10
S4Postelt3Zahradka4n = 7Zahradka took 4 of 7
S5Postelt3Zahradka2n = 5Postelt took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPosteltZahradkaP − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.042.8−4.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPosteltZahradkaBasisWin rate · lifetime339 / 726 vs 438 / 90446.7%48.5%339 / 726 vs 438 / 904Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZahradkaPostelt 1.91/Zahradka 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zahradka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 17:30T. Postelt47129114113M. Zahradka45101181152
LSep 8 · 16:30T. Postelt2561450M. Zahradka381116113
WSep 7 · 16:59T. Postelt55111878113M. Zahradka53716111182
LSep 7 · 15:00T. Postelt1835100M. Zahradka341111123
LAug 20 · 12:58T. Postelt4011591142M. Zahradka43311117113
LAug 20 · 12:30T. Postelt357131141M. Zahradka46111113113
WMay 18 · 16:30T. Postelt4291111113M. Zahradka36117991
LMay 14 · 07:30T. Postelt216870M. Zahradka331111113
WMay 8 · 14:30T. Postelt531311711113M. Zahradka4715911572
LMay 8 · 02:00T. Postelt44111210562M. Zahradka539101211113
T. Postelt10
WSep 13 · 21:30E. Mares1.80115431T. Postelt1.9011111113LSep 13 · 19:00T. Postelt2.5031111782T. Kos1.50119911113WSep 13 · 18:00E. Mares1.911111812132T. Postelt1.80641114153WSep 8 · 17:30M. Zahradka1.83101181152T. Postelt1.83129114113LSep 8 · 16:30M. Zahradka1.831116113T. Postelt1.8361450WSep 8 · 15:30T. Postelt2.3811414113L. Jindrak1.536111281WSep 8 · 14:30V. Koubek1.61911129112T. Postelt2.201161011133WSep 7 · 16:59M. Zahradka1.83716111182T. Postelt1.83111878113WSep 7 · 16:30T. Postelt1.7381111123J. Kycelt2.001199101LSep 7 · 15:00T. Postelt1.8035100M. Zahradka1.911111123
M. Zahradka10
LSep 13 · 20:59T. Kos1.308111011113M. Zahradka3.4011712882LSep 13 · 19:30M. Zahradka3.7512611131E. Mares1.2514119153LSep 13 · 18:30T. Kos1.281113811113M. Zahradka3.5081511752WSep 13 · 17:00L. Zeman1.83610111152M. Zahradka1.83111264113LSep 13 · 16:00M. Zahradka4.0010121081J. Cernik1.22121012113LSep 13 · 15:30T. Kos1.30111112113M. Zahradka3.40561471LSep 8 · 17:30M. Zahradka1.83101181152T. Postelt1.83129114113WSep 8 · 16:30M. Zahradka1.831116113T. Postelt1.8361450LSep 7 · 16:59M. Zahradka1.83716111182T. Postelt1.83111878113WSep 7 · 15:00T. Postelt1.8035100M. Zahradka1.911111123
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