TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13121519
Played Sep 13Finished
Tomas Kos
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181315811117115
Michal Zahradka
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:18 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeTomas Kos to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kos above · Michal Zahradka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 100 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Tomas Kos at 55.4%
100 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kos 2–1 Michal Zahradka Michal Zahradka has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:18What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Kos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kos 2043 vs Zahradka 1853
Kos
Correct
both rated, 190 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kos 80% vs Zahradka 40%
Kos
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kos 70% vs Zahradka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kos -1 · Zahradka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Kos) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zahradka form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 1.28 / Zahradka 3.50
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Kos)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13121519
Kos1.28
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 26 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it76% 22 of 29
Zahradka3.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 69 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKos2wins
AwayZahradka1wins
Kos leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos1Zahradka2n = 3Zahradka took 2 of 3
S2Kos3Zahradka0n = 3Kos took 3 of 3
S3Kos2Zahradka1n = 3Kos took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKosZahradkaK − ZBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match39.732.3+7.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosZahradkaBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 187 vs 440 / 90449.7%48.7%93 / 187 vs 440 / 904Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosKos 1.28/Zahradka 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.9%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 20 · 10:30T. Kos371114123M. Zahradka26412100
WApr 7 · 12:30T. Kos43101111113M. Zahradka30127471
LJan 2 · 13:30T. Kos398111191M. Zahradka4111613113
T. Kos10
LSep 13 · 20:00E. Mares2.2011124113T. Kos1.618101191WSep 13 · 19:00T. Postelt2.5031111782T. Kos1.50119911113LSep 13 · 17:29T. Kos2.25211771J. Cernik1.5711911113WSep 13 · 16:30L. Zeman3.00212241T. Kos1.36111011113WSep 13 · 15:30T. Kos1.30111112113M. Zahradka3.40561471WSep 13 · 14:30J. Cernik1.5351090T. Kos2.381112113WSep 12 · 13:30L. Jindrak2.252740T. Kos1.571111113WSep 12 · 12:00L. Zeman2.7581190T. Kos1.401113113WSep 12 · 11:00L. Jindrak2.1068130T. Kos1.671111153LSep 12 · 10:30T. Kos1.61111280E. Mares2.201314113
M. Zahradka10
LSep 13 · 19:30M. Zahradka3.7512611131E. Mares1.2514119153WSep 13 · 17:00L. Zeman1.83610111152M. Zahradka1.83111264113LSep 13 · 16:00M. Zahradka4.0010121081J. Cernik1.22121012113LSep 13 · 15:30T. Kos1.30111112113M. Zahradka3.40561471LSep 13 · 14:00M. Zahradka2.10811121192L. Zeman1.67117149113LSep 8 · 17:30M. Zahradka1.83101181152T. Postelt1.83129114113WSep 8 · 16:30M. Zahradka1.831116113T. Postelt1.8361450WSep 8 · 15:00M. Zahradka2.751111113V. Koubek1.405680WSep 8 · 14:00L. Jindrak1.571310671M. Zahradka2.25111211113LSep 7 · 21:30J. Kycelt1.831111123M. Zahradka1.8383100
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