TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120741
Played Sep 13Finished
Tomas Postelt
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
311119119711811
Tomas Kos
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:09 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Kos to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Postelt above · Tomas Kos below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 91 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Kos at 65.3%
91 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Postelt 7–8 Tomas Kos Tomas Postelt has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:09What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-8 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Postelt 1833 vs Kos 2055
Kos
Correct
both rated, 222 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Postelt 80% vs Kos 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Postelt 60% vs Kos 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Postelt +2 · Kos -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kos)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kos form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPostelt 2.50 / Kos 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Kos)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120741
Postelt2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 59 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back30% 25 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 41
Kos1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 26 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it76% 22 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePostelt5wins
AwayKos5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePostelt100%3 of 3
AwayKos71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Postelt3Kos7n = 10Kos took 7 of 10
S2Postelt5Kos5n = 10split evenly
S3Postelt2Kos8n = 10Kos took 8 of 10
S4Postelt2Kos5n = 7Kos took 5 of 7
S5Postelt5Kos0n = 5Postelt took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPosteltKosP − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.541.0−4.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPosteltKosBasisWin rate · lifetime340 / 727 vs 94 / 18846.8%50%340 / 727 vs 94 / 188Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.536.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosPostelt 2.50/Kos 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 08:30T. Postelt48911116113T. Kos4311481192
LAug 20 · 11:00T. Postelt143380T. Kos331111113
LSep 5 · 08:30T. Postelt3091560T. Kos391117113
LAug 9 · 15:00T. Postelt33811861T. Kos4111811113
WJul 10 · 17:30T. Postelt52971111143T. Kos49111169122
WJul 10 · 14:30T. Postelt45117511113T. Kos4881111992
LJun 1 · 12:30T. Postelt30811291T. Kos3811511113
LJun 1 · 07:00T. Postelt207760T. Kos331111113
WMay 30 · 21:30T. Postelt47111168113T. Kos4173111192
WMay 30 · 18:30T. Postelt46111293113T. Kos45910111142
T. Postelt10
WSep 13 · 18:00E. Mares1.911111812132T. Postelt1.80641114153WSep 8 · 17:30M. Zahradka1.83101181152T. Postelt1.83129114113LSep 8 · 16:30M. Zahradka1.831116113T. Postelt1.8361450WSep 8 · 15:30T. Postelt2.3811414113L. Jindrak1.536111281WSep 8 · 14:30V. Koubek1.61911129112T. Postelt2.201161011133WSep 7 · 16:59M. Zahradka1.83716111182T. Postelt1.83111878113WSep 7 · 16:30T. Postelt1.7381111123J. Kycelt2.001199101LSep 7 · 15:00T. Postelt1.8035100M. Zahradka1.911111123LSep 7 · 14:00E. Mares1.83131111113T. Postelt1.83157561LSep 6 · 09:30J. Vales1.43111114113T. Postelt2.608131271
T. Kos10
WSep 13 · 18:30T. Kos1.281113811113M. Zahradka3.5081511752LSep 13 · 17:29T. Kos2.25211771J. Cernik1.5711911113WSep 13 · 16:30L. Zeman3.00212241T. Kos1.36111011113WSep 13 · 15:30T. Kos1.30111112113M. Zahradka3.40561471WSep 13 · 14:30J. Cernik1.5351090T. Kos2.381112113WSep 12 · 13:30L. Jindrak2.252740T. Kos1.571111113WSep 12 · 12:00L. Zeman2.7581190T. Kos1.401113113WSep 12 · 11:00L. Jindrak2.1068130T. Kos1.671111153LSep 12 · 10:30T. Kos1.61111280E. Mares2.201314113WSep 12 · 09:30T. Kos1.6181111123E. Mares2.201164101
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